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2023-03-22 17:02:00 ET Summary The economic data renaissance combined with the threat of financial sector instability leaves central banks with difficult choices. Strong household and corporate finances are likely to limit the downturn to a mild recession. The Fed faces a daun...
2023-03-22 13:45:00 ET Summary As we noted in today’s Morning Lineup, sector performance has heavily favored areas like Tech, Consumer Discretionary, and Communication Services in recent weeks. Although FANG+ stocks have been strong recently, that follows more than a full y...
2023-03-22 09:04:00 ET Summary What does it take to quickly reverse an improving outlook for dividends? Investors have quickly become far more gloomy than they had been before the bank failures and the Biden administration's response to them. Dividend futures indicate the amou...
2023-03-20 14:58:00 ET Summary As of Friday’s close, QQQ actually finished in overbought territory whereas many other major index ETFs were oversold. Historically, the major indices, namely the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, tend to trade at similar overbought and oversold levels....
2023-03-20 11:00:00 ET Summary While I am not a perma-bear, I have certainly addressed my expectations for a long-term bear market to be seen. Financial markets are not linear, so you should never approach them with this type of perspective. One needs to understand long-term h...
2023-03-19 07:46:00 ET Summary The annual change in real US GDP and the S&P 500 shows broadly the same trends over the last 20 years. To quantify the relationship between the US economy and the stock market, we calculated rolling 10-year correlations. Even if economies and...
2023-03-19 05:41:00 ET Summary Idiosyncratic factors certainly played a role in SVB’s failure and the recent turmoil we’re seeing in US regional banks as well as overseas at Credit Suisse. CS is a much larger and more economically critical bank than SVB, with signifi...
2023-03-18 08:54:00 ET Summary S&P 500 earnings don’t start for another 3 – 4 weeks and are almost an afterthought now. The forward 4-quarter estimate slid this week to $221.49 from last week’s $221.55. Looking at companies like Meta (META) and Federal...
2023-03-18 02:14:07 ET Summary High frequency indicators can give us a nearly up-to-the-moment view of the economy. The metrics are divided into long leading, short leading, and coincident indicators. Several important coincident indicators - tax withholding and temporary staf...
2023-03-18 01:20:49 ET Summary The recent weakness in the banking system demonstrates just how fragile it is. We have yet to see the full impact of higher interest rates in the economy, but earnings have already started to decline. The market's earnings expectations for the S&...
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2024-06-20 10:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-19 20:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-20 06:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...