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The most recent outlook highlights a number of factors that may contribute to a challenging investment environment ahead. Three key takeaways from our cyclical outlook and what can we expect looking forward for 2021. Fed tapering of the bond purchases is on the horizon probably st...
A full "V" recovery has occurred when measured in GDP terms. However, the GDP rebound does not reflect sustainable progress. Due to the way that GDP is calculated, a dollar of counterproductive spending is the same as a dollar of productive spending. Over the past 12 months, there...
Earnings have been good, but the reaction has not been what I would call benign. I think we are headed into another interest rate-driven rotation in the stock market, similar to what we saw in March. The key to whether it works out the same way - a fast shakeout and ultimately a n...
This is the kind of headline that makes a contrarian want to hit the exits - when everybody's in, who will be left to buy? The stats and interview commentary that accompany this headline from a prominent financial daily are pretty scary too given a lack of historical perspective. ...
In 2020, Tesla received $1.58 billion in EV tax credits, but only made $721 million total, so the company actually lost $859 million from making EVs! Clearly, that trend is persisting in the first quarter of 2021. However, Tesla is becoming increasingly efficient, so the focus is now ...
We see near-term volatility in inflation as the economic restart progresses, and believe markets underappreciate potential for medium-term price pressures. U.S. stocks hit record highs supported by strong corporate earnings. The Federal Reserve reiterated its intent to "stay behind th...
Last week, we talked about inflation. This week, we are looking at shortages. The market looks tired and many are making summer plans. Sell in May and go away? The rollover of options this week presents a real opportunity for volatility to return. The options market had the market...
Real GDP increased at a 6.4 percent annualized rate in the first quarter, up from a 4.3 percent pace in the fourth quarter. Real final sales to private domestic purchasers rose at a very robust 10.6 percent annualized rate in the first quarter, versus a 5.5 percent pace in the fourth ...
Initial claims for regular state unemployment insurance totaled 553,000 for the week ending April 24, a drop of 13,000 from the previous week's upwardly revised tally of 566,000. The current result is the lowest level since March 14, 2020 and continues to suggest an improving outlook ...
With greater clarity on the sustainability of the economic recovery, we also saw the opportunity set across markets broaden to include sectors beyond those seen as the primary beneficiaries of an economic reopening. As expected, the recovery hasn't been smooth sailing for all, with su...
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2024-06-20 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-09 22:48:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-30 04:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...