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Summary China has drastically eased its Covid-19 measures. Both domestic mobility and international traffic should increase in 2023. But the question is in which quarter? The current Covid wave could last at least a few months. By then, the US and EU will likely be in recession, hur...
Summary On a coincident basis, driven by a historically tight labour market and robust industrial production growth, the US economy remains deceptively strong despite negative real incomes and tight financial conditions. However, the leading indicators of the business cycle continue to ...
Summary Over the last year, major changes occurred, so 2023 will be about managing and reacting to the changes that arrived. As we enter 2023, the pessimism of 2022 may shift to optimism, as economies and markets adapt to the major changes thrust upon them in the year just passed. E...
Summary Recession foretold in developed markets (DM), a pause in central bank rate hikes and China’s reopening help shape 2023 and reinforce our tactical views. European equities led DM stocks higher. Surprisingly weak U.S. services data spurred bets for Federal Reserve rate cuts...
Summary Avoiding growth last year paid enormous dividends, but I didn’t predict that growth stocks would fall in 2022, just that I couldn’t own them and fulfill our fiduciary duty. Near-term stock market performance is negatively correlated with economic growth. Commod...
Summary Global business activity fell for a fifth consecutive month in December, with the rate of decline moderating slightly amid improved supply conditions but still rounding off the worst quarter since 2009 barring lockdown months. At 48.2 in December, the Global PMI - compiled by S&...
Summary Relative to developed markets, emerging markets responded quicker to inflation, remain in better shape financially, and benefit from higher commodity prices. Notwithstanding China’s more recent policy direction, emerging markets, in general, have moved much more quickly t...
Summary We expect COVID-19 to continue its transition to a global endemic and the status quo to prevail in Russia's war in Ukraine, with no material implications for the global economy. Mild recessions are forecast in the United States and Europe, but resilience in Asia Pacific will pre...
Summary Most global economists feel that any recovery in China could be more U-shaped than V-shaped. The 2022 Chinese economy can best be described as a spluttering car engine. China’s official purchasing managers’ index (PMI) showed factory activity shrank for the thi...
Summary The upsides to falling demand and spare capacity were fewer supply constraints and a further marked moderation of price pressures. While Japan's factory output downturn likewise moderated slightly, it remained among the sharpest witnessed over the past decade. Future output ...
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2024-02-14 04:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
Global X ETFs To Liquidate 19 ETFs PR Newswire NEW YORK , Jan. 19, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- Global X ETFs, the New York -based provider of exchange-traded funds, today announced the scheduled liquidation of the following ETFs (the "Funds"), based on an ongoi...
2023-12-30 19:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...