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In 2021, energy is where the money is going. Money is flowing out of Momentum stocks this year, and much of it is going into Value names. Commodities are having a strong showing compared to last year. For further details see: If You Want To Know Where The Market Action I...
The chief problem facing most of the world's developed economies today is the level of outstanding debt, both private and public. Demographics remain one of the most powerful drivers of long-term economic growth. Sustained inflation requires a permanent increase in demand relative...
Risk-adjusted performance for the Global Market Index (GMI) continued to push higher in June, based on the annualized Sharpe ratio for a rolling ten-year window via monthly data. GMI’s 10-year SR increased to 0.84, the highest in 18 months. GMI is an unmanaged, market-value...
As we mark the halfway point of the year, the economy is in full recovery mode and asset prices are soaring. As we enter the second half of the year though, it is hard to ignore some contradictions. Economic growth in H1 is going to print a big number, and yet, the 10-year Treasury no...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) resumed an upward drift in June, rising to an annualized 6.0%. The current risk premium forecast for GMI - 6.0% - suggests that multi-asset-class strategies will generate lower returns relative to results posted in recent yea...
MSCI US REIT Index rallied 2.7% in June, which marks an impressive run of eight consecutive monthly increases. The Russell 3000 Index jumped 2.5% in June, the fifth straight monthly advance. Comparing GMI to US stocks and bonds shows that global asset allocation remains competitiv...
The reopening should continue across the major developed economies through the second half of 2021. The focus for markets has shifted to the strength of the growth rebound, the implications for inflation and the timing of central bank moves to taper asset purchases and eventually rais...
Inflation will help commodity and real estate-related industries, hurt industries that carry high inventories and throw most other sectors into uncertainty. Commodity prices rise disproportionately with overall inflation. Higher average inflation usually means a less stable real e...
FOMC change of tone took some wind out of commodity's sail but not for long. Precious metals have lost appeal until safe haven demand picks up. Oil prices have a floor and should be range-bound. Base metals and grains will ride a secular bull market higher after a pause. ...
Cyclical sectors and value stocks began to lead equity market performance for the first time in years, commodity prices rocketed, and the 10-year Treasury yield doubled. Yield curves flattened and breakeven inflation rates fell, cyclical and value stocks lost ground against defensive ...
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2024-07-20 15:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-30 14:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-20 15:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...