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We have seen crypto disruption expand across the financial system and expect this to continue. Inflation pressures may linger through 2022 and pose a risk of spiraling into a more persistent economic factor. Historically in these market environments, real assets—including n...
Despite ongoing inflation hype, the U.S. prices paid trend indicator peaked in June 2021 and turned down - this typically leads ISM Manufacturing prices by 2-3 months and suggests inflationary pressures will continue to reverse. Commodities are signalling a similar story, with the Gol...
Investors gain confidence when they have a clear sense of direction, particularly regarding short-term market moves. This is increasingly true as markets move closer to the top of a major phase. Thus, extreme confidence, while generally reassuring, is a warning sign of a nearby top. ...
Certainly, rising metals prices are seen as an inflationary pressure themselves. However, they can also be seen as a hedge against inflation if the expectation is metal prices will continue to rise. Metals have largely failed to react so far to inflation fears. If the market b...
The last 18 months have been the zenith of two decades of monetary madness and speculative mayhem. The IPOX SPAC index, a mix of 50 SPACs and De-SPACs (another marketing euphemism for junk), is, so far, down 32% from its 2021 peak. Following the risk-off trade, most global commodi...
Commodities are set to be the best performing asset class of 2021, with the Bloomberg Commodity index up around 25% YTD, although it has been up by as much as 35% over the course of the year. The balances for most metals also look relatively better next year, which suggests that price...
Commodities, by virtue of their fungibility and broad uses, have infiltrated nearly every facet of human life, making the world enormously reliant on their ready availability. As the world gears up for the push to reduce carbon emissions, one segment of the commodity world under the s...
U.S. CPI inflation rose 6.2% in October 2021, marking the highest level of inflation since 1990. When it comes to assets that can hedge against inflation, commodities have historically stood out as winners. So far this year, gold has disappointed. It has historically been a good h...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked lower in November but remains elevated relative to recent history. Adjusting the forecast with short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors (defined below) reduces - substantially - GMI’s ex...
Fed Chair Powell says acceleration in monetary tightening may be warranted. In reality, the stronger dollar is already working at cross-purposes to the Fed’s inflation aspiration. Some risk always materializes to topple unsustainable systems; this is not about a virus. ...
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2024-07-20 15:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-30 14:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-20 15:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...