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We see specific themes in commodities that could benefit from the transition to a low carbon economy. On average, since 1997, commodities have historically outperformed the S&P 500 in the first 12 months after the beginning of a rate hiking cycle. Investors are increasingly us...
The magnitude of the war’s impact on growth and inflation will be determined by how much and for how long energy prices rise. The war, economic sanctions and the associated rise in energy costs are likely to exacerbate global shipping impediments, too, which had begun to recove...
Pick any barometer of costs these days, and the story is the same: Prices are up - and in a dramatic fashion. The first thing that jumps out is the dismal performance of most asset classes during periods of low growth and high inflation - otherwise known as stagflation. A solid fo...
Rising prices are always caused by more units of currency being directed to scarce or tangible assets. The Ukraine war has created another excuse to blame inflation on oil and natural gas. More units of currency are going to scarce assets as investors look for protection against i...
Commodities exposure, designed carefully, can provide effective inflation defense and portfolio diversification. After nearly a decade of struggles and underinvestment, the supportive infrastructure and supply for many commodities have become strained. Commodities don’t all...
Commodities and equities are both showing renewed strength on the heels of global interest rate increases. Inflation shows no sign of abating as energy, metals, food products, and housing continue their upward bias. The SPY has enjoyed a sharp rally back up after touching its Fibonacc...
The CRB commodity price index (39% fossil fuels and 41% agriculture) has leapt 25% since Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24th and is up 38% year-to-date. The cost of living shock is big amid negative real wage gains and a freakish jump in shelter expense over the past two years. ...
Most of the stocks we are adding now are prospering from the current inflationary environment that accelerated after Russia invaded Ukraine. As investors seek inflation hedges that can prosper from stagflation, stocks remain our best bet. Specifically, commodity-related companies - as...
If one gains multiples of loss positions it doesn’t take long to produce a satisfactory return, it just takes patience to ride out multiple-year periods. The NYSE up-volume dropped to 13.7 million shares from 20 million shares the week before, while the NASDAQ up-volume rose to...
Based on new hopes for a peaceful Ukrainian/Russian resolution to their nearly month-long war, the world is cautiously optimistic. Although China has been trying to help Russia avoid economic sanctions, China is struggling with its own debt problems from Evergrande, slowing economic g...
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2024-07-20 15:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-30 14:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-20 15:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...