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The near-term outlook for inflation continues to suggest a temporary spike, reflecting an adjustment higher in price levels as the global economy recovers from the effects of the pandemic. In Europe, we expect GDP to normalize to pre-pandemic levels in 2022, with inflation remaining l...
By Erik Norland and Blu PutnamCommodities supercycles of the 1970s and 1990s had major economic and monetary drivers, but it’s unclear if such a driver exists today. The Bloomberg and S&P-Goldman Sachs commodity indexes have risen sharply, though it could be years before a ...
The tech-heavy NASDAQ index has lost lift relative to the older-economy Dow Jones Industrial Average since April 21. Other recent risk-market leaders are also showing weakness. The risk rally has had one hell of a run, but if "reopening" mania is finally coming off the boil, we sh...
Today's post rolls out the inaugural Risk Review column for the major asset classes, a monthly update that's the companion piece to the monthly performance report and risk-premia estimates. Risk analysis is a broad and deep subject and so this monthly update will be no one's idea of a...
April delivered across-the-board gains in the major asset classes as risk-assets around the world rebounded from widespread losses in March. The lead performer in April: broadly defined commodities, which surged 8.3% via the Bloomberg Commodity Index. The worst performer last mont...
What do commodity prices tell us about inflation? Sometimes a lot, sometimes a little. Some commodities are driven by broader economic forces and tell us more about the prospects for overall inflation. High commodity prices can only be sustained by the demand that the prices antic...
Near-record supply chain disruption has led to fastest rise in global input prices since August 2008. Higher costs were passed through to clients at sharpest pace for over a decade in March. Shipping delays, elevated transport costs and higher commodity prices likely to feed throu...
Concerns of a rising U.S. dollar may pose a hindrance to initiating commodity exposure from outside the U.S. The launch of new non-U.S.-dollar-denominated S&P GSCI Single Commodities Indices could help commodity exposure seekers gain access while alleviating the external currency ...
Current economic data is certainly strong - although not universally so - but the bond and currency markets may be pointing to some weakness ahead. The copper to gold ratio which peaked in early March, leading bond yields by a full month, has recently resumed its uptrend. The comm...
Stocks were up but the bigger winners were commodities and real estate. With the dollar down foreign markets also performed pretty well with Europe continuing to outperform. Growth beat value again last week but still lags significantly YTD. Large cap stocks also had another good week...
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2024-07-10 14:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-10 17:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-30 01:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...