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The Fed minutes delivered a big shock to the markets. This has sent yields soaring across the curve and the Fed Funds Futures. Stocks are living in the land of rainbows and unicorns, for the moment. The FOMC minutes delivered a massive surprise to markets because rates i...
By long-term historical comparison, initial claims remain very low. State continuing claims have now risen in five of the last six weeks and are at the highest level since April 30, though the level remains very low by longer-term comparison. The tight labor market is a crucial co...
It seems like no one wants to hear positive news just as the tide looks to be turning. The service side of the economy continues to hold up. There are more signs that inflation is starting to abate. Growth stocks are starting to catch a bid. Investors need to fight the neg...
Global economic growth accelerated in June thanks primarily to rebounding business activity in mainland China after lockdowns related to the Omicron wave were eased. Demand growth, as measured by inflows of new orders, meanwhile slowed globally to reach a near two-year low and hint at...
Global cost pressures eased in June albeit remaining elevated. Rates of increase of business costs decelerated in the US, eurozone, and UK, with the latter once again seeing a notably firmer rate of increase. A key driver of the slower rate of manufacturing input cost increase in ...
May 2022 was a strong month for U.S. new home builders. The basic mortgage payment for a median new home as a percentage of median household income ticked up from April 2022's initial estimate of 37.8% to 38.4%. With mortgages rates resuming their Biden-era surge over the 5.5% thr...
June saw signs of an increasingly broad-based weakening of the US economy with demand now falling in both the manufacturing and service sectors. The weaker expansions of output in turn reflected a renewed contraction in new orders, the first in almost two years. With the economy a...
A basic and very important fact of which hardly anyone is aware is that a general rise in asset prices has nothing to do with economic progress. An important characteristic of monetary inflation is that the new money does not get injected uniformly throughout the economy and therefore...
The odds for a technical recession appear to be very high. But a technical recession will not derail the Fed's mission to bring down inflation. The Fed will need to get the inflation rate below the nominal GDP growth rate. Don't be surprised if the US is in a technical r...
The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows the total number of job openings in the economy decreased to 11.254 million in May. The number of private sector quits fell in May, coming in at 4.270 million, down from 4.327 million in April....
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2024-06-20 22:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-20 08:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-30 13:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...