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There has been a dramatic fall in Treasury yields in the past month and an equally dramatic fall in energy, metals, and agricultural commodities. The Ukraine situation holds many unknowns, as it is a major driver of financial markets and there is no end in sight as to when the fightin...
The global economy and financial markets have suffered a dreadful H1 2022, ravaged by a severe commodity shock, strict COVID-19 lockdowns in the world’s second-largest economy, and one of the most aggressive Fed tightening cycles in recent history. H2 looks equally tough. In it...
With prices rising 9.1% year-over-year and outpacing growth in wages, it may be like a recession for those who feel their purchasing power eroding. Thus far in 2022, employment growth has remained robust. With high inflation, it’s clear that consumers in the U.S. and many o...
The Fed will be raising interest rates again soon, and of course, the question is whether the central bank will raise the Fed Funds rate by 0.75 or 1.00 percent. As if the issues in China weren’t enough, the festering Ukraine war-related energy-related issues in Europe could be...
Last week, the Labor Department announced that its CPI rose 1.3% in June, higher than the economists’ consensus estimate of 1.1%. But core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose only 0.7% in June and just 5.9% in the past 12 months. The main reason for a higher CPI number is that...
The jobs data takes priority over GDP data in the calculus of how fast interest rates might be raised to combat elevated inflation. For jobs, the pre-pandemic peak is only now being fully recovered, with job vacancies abound and wages rising. Labor force growth is likely to be ver...
Anticipated inflation over the next twelve months based on bond prices has precipitously declined from over five percent to well under two. One potential reason is that an oncoming recession might seriously deflate prices, and quickly. Though, a recession is only somewhat more likely ...
Option skew, or S&P 500 volatility skew, is at its flattest level in 10 years. Option skew provides information on whether fund managers prefer to be buyers or sellers and which options they prefer (calls or puts). Although hedging and protecting equities using S&P 500 opt...
The US Dollar has recently shown strength. Inflation is rather high. The geopolitical situation is unstable. This article examines the present state of the American currency and possible effects on it caused by the geopolitical situation. The Dollar is still strong despite h...
The guidance in this season’s earnings reports could start to tell us how far earnings are likely to decline and how much is already priced in. The macroeconomic background is as challenging as we’ve seen in many years, to put it mildly. We see a powerful feedback lo...
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2024-06-20 22:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-20 08:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-30 13:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...