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We’re seeing the Q2 preliminary estimates of earnings, but the real question is about the earnings in Q3 and Q4. So earnings expectations will be valued at an equity risk premium based on interest rates in the future. We’re still holding a large (for us) cash reserve...
The number of open positions in the private sector decreased to 9.766 million in June, down from 10.275 million in May and a record-high 10.812 million in March. The highest openings rates were in leisure and hospitality (8.5 percent), education and health care (8.4 percent), professi...
Last Thursday, the Commerce Department announced its preliminary estimate for second-quarter GDP growth at an annualized decline of -0.9%, which marks two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth. The Commerce Department announced on Wednesday that durable goods orders increased a ...
Advanced estimates suggest real output declined for a second straight quarter in 2022, prompting many to debate whether we are in a recession and what that even means. First, note that overproduction does not mean above-trend production. Rather, it means producing more than is warrant...
When measuring markets in percentage terms, the math is very deceiving. The investing lesson investors have yet to learn is that capital preservation matters most in achieving long-term financial goals. In the end, market corrections are very bad for your portfolio. Ever...
Political Calculations' initial estimate of median household income in June 2022 is $77,881, an increase of $616 (or 0.82%) from the initial estimate of $77,265 in May 2022. Once again, inflation eroded all of the nominal month-over-month gain for American households in June 2022. For...
The inflation surge has dominated the narrative for equity investors in 2022. Computer chip shortages, COVID shutdowns, and the war in Ukraine have combined to create broad supply chain bottlenecks that limited automotive production globally. In this environment, investors in US e...
On July 28, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that the nation's inflation-adjusted (or "real") Gross Domestic Product fell at a 0.9% annual rate in the second quarter (Q2). A less familiar measure—Gross Domestic Income, or GDI—is payments to the domestic labor and...
US companies see strong food grocery sales as consumers focus on essentials. Food manufacturers report smaller gross margins as rising input and operating costs outpace sales growth and price increases. Consumer food price inflation ticked higher in June, reaching 10.4% in the US ...
Many of the downside risks flagged in our April World Economic Outlook have begun to materialize. Despite slowing activity, global inflation has been revised up, in part due to rising food and energy prices. As advanced economies raise interest rates to fight inflation, financial ...
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2024-06-20 22:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-20 08:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-30 13:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...