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S&P 500 returns in the last decade were significantly above their long-term historical averages. But the combination of rising yields and high valuations will suppress further price increases in the next couple of years. The analysis of historical return patterns suggests that...
The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows the total number of job openings in the economy rose to 10.925 million in December, up from 10.775 million in November. Four industry categories have more than 1.7 million openings each. Th...
While the technicals suggest a short-term bottom is getting established, we are concerned that may limit any bounce to a 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the recent decline. With tensions rising between Russia and Ukraine, it will not be surprising to see global fund flows into U...
Political Calculations' initial estimate of median household income in December 2021 is $72,933. December 2021's estimated median household income of $72,933 is $633 higher than the previous April 2020 inflation-adjusted peak of $72,300 in terms of constant December 2021 U.S. dollars....
The Fed is telling us that its concern is not protecting financial assets like stocks and bonds, but the real economy. The current rally is providing us with another opportunity. Chinese consumption could also suffer due to Covid and other factors. For further details see: ...
In investing, the big five could more aptly refer to the connected categories of growth, inflation, interest rates, valuations, and style. 2022 is shaping up to be one of slowing toward more normal, healthy rates of economic growth and inflation, thereby paving the way to a sustainabl...
If Powell started to taper in December and plans to be finished by March, that means his $120 billion monthly QE rate will go to zero in three months. Lower levels of QE may not be the same as outright QT, but because the QE intervention was more extreme during the Covid Fed intervent...
Many folks are shocked at the magnitude of the recent correction and are baffled why fundamentally focused growth stocks were swept up. When the stock market corrects moderately, fundamentally superior stocks can be resilient. But when the correction is 10% or more, essentially nothing wo...
I recently recommended an options trade in AbbVie based on expectations that the stock could break out of its current trading range after its earnings release. The company has beaten expectations handily in Q3 while raising its full year’s guidance. We saw yet another new low i...
Monetary tightening will not be good for the stock market. In 2022, interest rates are most likely to rise because of Federal Reserve policy, not because the economy is strengthening. The negative effect of Fed tightening on stock prices may not push the stock market down, if the ...
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Transamerica Plans to Close and Liquidate Five Exchange-Traded Funds PR Newswire BALTIMORE , March 9, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Consistent with the recommendation of Transamerica Asset Management, Inc., the adviser to the series of the Transamerica ETF Trust, th...
DENVER , April 24, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- Transamerica executives will have the honor of ringing the renowned closing bell at the New York Stock Exchange on Wednesday, April 24 to recognize the successful launch of DeltaShares® S&P EM 100 & Managed Risk ETF, the fifth DeltaSh...
DENVER , March 21, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- Transamerica Asset Management, Inc. today announced the launch of the DeltaShares ® S&P EM 100 & Managed Risk ETF, an expansion of the DeltaShares by Transamerica suite of strategic beta exchange-traded funds (ETFs) introduced in Au...