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2022 looks to be an uneven year for the markets. Central bank policies succeeded in saving the markets and economies from the risk of depression and mass social unrest as Covid hit full force. That success helped drive a now-threatening level of inflation. Federal Reserve poli...
The Consumer Price Index soared to a 40-year high of 7.5%. Fed Governor James Bullard then took an extraordinarily hawkish stance. His comments sent stocks tumbling and yields surging. Fed rhetoric is tightening financial conditions on their own, as futures markets price in a ...
The positive result for the AIER Leading Indicators Index suggests continued economic expansion with the potential for a broadening of growth in the economy. Ongoing disruptions to labor supply and production, rising costs and shortages of materials, and logistics and transportation b...
AIER’s Everyday Price rose 1.0 percent in January after being unchanged in December. Gains were once again broad based in January with 18 of the 24 components making a positive contribution for the month. Price pressures for many goods and services in the economy remain ele...
With inflation rising, fears that policymakers could tip economies into recession have eroded enthusiasm for stocks after three strong years. In this environment, equity investors must distinguish between businesses that are more likely to do well in an inflationary environment and th...
There is one huge thing that is missing in all the buzz about inflation: the surging M2 money supply. As real rates move higher, the demand for money becomes intense, liquidity becomes scarce, and marginal firms get squeezed. Swap spreads are a highly liquid indicator of general l...
My own opinion was that we would likely see a 20%-25% correction in the S&P 500 at some point in 2022 thanks to the pending removal of all the excess liquidity that Jay Powell is now forced to deal with. However much of the negative sentiment you see and hear today are investors w...
In light of the December FOMC meeting minutes, we should expect modest increases in the federal funds target soon, with a reduction of the balance sheet following the increase in rates. The exact timing of balance sheet reduction is yet to be determined. The shift in tone reflects the...
Investors all talk about risk, but there seems to be little consensus on what it is, how it should be measured, and how it plays out in the short and long term. In this post, I will start with a working definition of risk that we can get some degree of agreement about, and then look a...
Demand above supply is causing shortages. But higher prices reduce quantity demanded and increase quantity supplied, until the two are equal. Why isn’t that happening today? Aside from markets with continuous trading for uniform commodities, price adjustment will always take ti...
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Transamerica Plans to Close and Liquidate Five Exchange-Traded Funds PR Newswire BALTIMORE , March 9, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Consistent with the recommendation of Transamerica Asset Management, Inc., the adviser to the series of the Transamerica ETF Trust, th...
DENVER , April 24, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- Transamerica executives will have the honor of ringing the renowned closing bell at the New York Stock Exchange on Wednesday, April 24 to recognize the successful launch of DeltaShares® S&P EM 100 & Managed Risk ETF, the fifth DeltaSh...
DENVER , March 21, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- Transamerica Asset Management, Inc. today announced the launch of the DeltaShares ® S&P EM 100 & Managed Risk ETF, an expansion of the DeltaShares by Transamerica suite of strategic beta exchange-traded funds (ETFs) introduced in Au...