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2024-03-05 15:46:00 ET Summary When the stock market enjoys a strong bull run, the bubble warnings come out of the woodwork. Last week, Ray Dalio argued that “the US stock market doesn’t appear to be in a bubble.”. Kenneth Rogoff, professor of economics an...
2024-03-05 10:05:00 ET Summary There are several technical indicators here that communicate the S&P 500 cap-weighted index is extended and due for correction. While the market and earnings performances predominantly rely on a select few stocks, it's imperative to assess whethe...
2024-02-25 04:15:00 ET Summary Semper Augustus is an SEC registered investment advisor. We are a fundamental, value-driven investor managing concentrated equity portfolios of well-run, well-capitalized businesses with share prices trading below our conservative appraisals of intrinsic...
2024-02-23 19:25:00 ET Summary The forward 4-quarter estimate (FFQE) this week increased to $242.76 from last week’s $242.57 and January 5th’s print of $243.98. The P/E on the FFQE is 21x, versus 20.7x last week, so we continue to see a little P/E expansion. The ...
2024-02-23 02:25:00 ET Summary The factors we are most concerned about in 2024 will move investors in a new direction. First, we are concerned about the pace of Federal Reserve (Fed) easing in 2024. If growth continues, and we avoid a recession, we believe sales growth, profitabil...
2024-02-21 14:56:00 ET Summary The Magnificent Seven stocks (Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Nvidia, Meta, and Tesla) have been the largest driver of equity returns in recent years and were again the dominant contributors in 2023, accounting for more than half of the market increa...
2024-02-20 19:45:00 ET Summary International equities were generally lower yesterday, while US markets were shuttered in observance of President's Day. The US is continuing the negative tone today, with the S&P 500 down roughly 50 bps as of this writing. Assuming the decli...
2024-02-18 19:25:00 ET Summary Nvidia reports Wednesday, 2/21/24 after the closing bell. Per Briefing.com, Street consensus expects $4.59 in EPS on $20.4 billion in revenue. Walmart reports Tuesday morning, February 20, 2024, before the opening bell. S&P 500 forward 4-quar...
2024-02-14 12:30:00 ET Summary On average, US equity returns have tended to be strongest in January, compared to the other 11 months of the year. When the S&P 500 Index rises in January, full year returns have tended to be positive, leading some to call January a performance p...
2024-02-13 01:40:00 ET Summary Earnings haven’t been consistently rewarded in equity markets recently. That could change faster than you think. When seven giant stocks dominate returns, it’s hard for active managers to outperform the market. We think the pendulum...
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2024-07-07 11:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-06 15:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-08 20:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...