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2023-05-06 21:19:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve hiked interest rates 25 basis points at its May policy meeting, taking the upper end of its target to 5.25%. Our view is that there is a high probability that US growth will continue to weaken and enter recession later this year. ...
2023-05-04 02:44:00 ET Summary 2023 has smashed all previous U.S. large-cap stock-market extremes including those of 2021 and 2022. Regardless of whether there is a soft landing or not, current valuations especially for the largest U.S. stocks aren't compatible with contracting ec...
2023-04-26 22:55:00 ET Summary After taking a back seat to various flavors of small-cap and value factors earlier in 2023, the large-company growth risk factor is again leading the horse race, based on year-to-date returns for a set of ETF proxies through yesterday’s close (Apr...
2023-04-23 07:41:00 ET Summary The sudden collapse of two US regional banks and the forced acquisition of Credit Suisse in Europe introduced a third dimension to the existing policy dilemma of balancing inflation and growth objectives: financial stability. In the weeks since banki...
2023-03-29 03:30:00 ET Summary While US large cap equity indexes have generally fared well over the past five years, the Russell 1000 Invesco Dynamic Multifactor Index [RB1] has posted standout returns. The Russell 1000 Index — an unbiased barometer for the broad US large c...
Summary The forward 12-month EPS is a time-weighted average between FY1 (2023) and FY2 (2024). During the height of the pandemic, we saw aggressive downgrades in EPS estimates during March-June 2020 as shown in the 2020, 2021 , and 2022 worm. Both the Russell 1000 and Russell 1000 G...
Summary The Federal Reserve appears to be losing control of the market. Financial conditions have eased dramatically since the December FOMC meeting. The Fed needs to push back against the market before it is too late. It appears that the Federal Reserve is losing control ...
Summary US Large Cap stocks are still in a short-term downtrend but the long-term uptrend is intact. International Large Cap stocks are in a short-term uptrend versus US Large Cap. The trend has been driven by the falling dollar. US Large Cap value is in a short-term uptrend versus ...
Summary Can low volatility stocks shield investors from volatile markets? Low volatility stocks don't necessarily lead to low returns. Why low volatility stocks may be facing a 'goldilocks' environment. Markets are facing waves of volatility amid high inflation, ri...
Summary For 40 years, steadily declining inflation and interest rates buoyed equity returns. That changed abruptly last year. Investors must now adjust expectations to a new macroeconomic and market landscape that will require a fresh mindset to reach long-term goals. By...
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2024-06-21 02:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-30 11:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-22 01:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...