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From copper to iron and aluminum, industrial commodities have been exhibiting a rather synchronized setback going back to the end of March, start of April. This despite supply bottlenecks and production shortfalls which continue to plague each. As with Eurobond prices and credit s...
The US 10yr real yield finally broke decisively into positive territory. The move looks and feels like a confident one. For now, the firming path is correlating with tighter financial conditions. The bulk of this so far has come from higher market rates feeding into wider retail and w...
Investors have been processing high inflation reports, rising interest rates, surging energy, commodity, and real estate prices. So, what is the market saying about which markets investors have favored the last couple of years vs where are they putting their money right now? A way...
If USTs are upside down, we shouldn’t expect to find outright contradictions elsewhere in places like Japan or Germany. Yields in Germany too have gone vertical over the past few months. Unsurprisingly, the higher Treasuries go, the more they tug on bunds (10s) and bobls (5s) a...
With global markets close to post-Ukraine war highs, we remain neutral on global equities. In the UK, the Bank of England is the outlier for now, raising interest rates by a further 0.25% but alluding to the possibility of an easier trajectory of rate increases as growth slows due to ...
The Russia-Ukraine war will further exacerbate supply chain problems affecting commodity prices as well as energy-dependent and related industries. Delivery times and input price growth eased, but material and labor shortages are at the historical highs in the EU in industry, construc...
Putin’s gamble, and the West’s response, has brought into view one of the few existential tail risks that isn’t a Black Swan: the risk of an escalation into war between Russia and NATO, and the exchange of nuclear weaponry. We also know that the war between Ukrain...
Moody's and S&P Global have both downgraded Russia's credit rating. Purchasing power and income and employment will be significantly impacted, and many Russians will suffer serious setbacks to their standards of living. Sanctions might also bring undesirable side effects. ...
The sanctions against Russia, as understandable as they may be, are likely to backfire in the eurozone due to their large trade relationship with the Russian Federation. It would be a while before Europe can get alternative natural gas supplies, so this price spike can go higher. ...
Emerging Markets are outperforming the rest of the world, due in large part to windfall profits in the commodities-exporting countries of South America and the Middle East. If you want to follow the money, this is a good place to start. Money has been flowing out of tech, consumer dis...
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WisdomTree, Inc. (NYSE: WT), a global financial innovator, today announced plans to close and liquidate five WisdomTree ETFs. The ETFs will no longer accept creation orders after Friday, October 20, 2023. The final day of trading on the ETFs’ respective exchanges will also be Friday, O...