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Despite the good news that came over the holidays and in early January, markets appear to have entered a period of consolidation. In my view, markets are only “taking a breather” as investors digest recent news and process what is already priced. So, what gives? ...
The stock market in 1921 was in a very different state than the stock market of 2021. Fitch, the ratings agency, is penciling in a 2020 deficit-to-GDP ratio of 18.5%. For 2021, Fitch expects a deficit equal to 11.3%. For further details see: What If The Thing That 'Roars...
Commodity prices had been rising from March through early September, but this week they turned around and began to fall. The major reason for the reversal seems to be fact that government is not going to pass anymore economic stimulus this year and focus will be directed at Supreme Co...
The raw material markets posted a gain in the final quarter of 2019 as the dollar index moved lower, and a de-escalation of the trade war between the US and China supported commodity prices. The commodity asset class consisting of 29 of the primary commodities that trade on U.S and U.K. exchan...
Just 22 days left in the decade, and we're going to use a good portion of those to look back on some of the top-performing markets, asset classes, and alternative investment funds over that time. First up, commodities, which would likely rather not be mentioned at all. Talk about a lost deca...
Perhaps the most notorious commodities trader of the last century was Marc Rich. After beginning his career in the mailroom at Philipp Brothers in the 1950s, he climbed the ranks at what was then the world's leading raw materials merchant company. In the 1970s, Mr. Rich left the firm after a b...
The past year has been one that many commodity investors would like to forget. The optimism of those who have a long-term bullish outlook for natural resources was largely disappointed in the year to date. There are, however, several indications that the coming year will be far more rewarding ...
“Follow the trend lines, not the headlines.” The quote, attributed to former President Bill Clinton, is one of my favorite pieces of advice. Clinton was referring to long-term data that show that conditions have actually been improving for the human race despite popular opinion...
What was once the world's largest commodities hedge fund is officially closing, creating new opportunities for some investors to get exposure to raw materials and mining using other funds. According to Bloomberg , Blenheim Capital Management's CEO and chief investment officer, Willem Kooyker,...
Commodities have been among the biggest losers in 2019 to date in terms of performance. While equities have posted noteworthy gains this year, a basket of commodity prices as measured by the S&P GSCI Commodity Index has been essentially flat and is well below its yearly high. In the aggreg...