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2024-02-24 01:04:00 ET Summary Measures facilitating trade are still outweighing those that restrict it globally, but the gap is narrowing for large economies (G20) and recent signs of looming protectionism on the side of the US and Europe are not encouraging for trade. However, g...
2024-02-21 16:55:00 ET Summary International trade drives global economic growth, and around 80% of the global movement of goods is via maritime transport. In December 2023 and January 2024, Suez Canal's flow of traffic has been reduced by around 42% because of the Houthi militant...
2024-02-17 22:19:00 ET Summary Could policymakers fall behind the curve? Rapid disinflation has fueled consensus expectations for significant rate cuts this year. But pushback from the US Federal Reserve on the timing of the first rate cut raises the possibility that policymakers coul...
2024-02-17 02:10:00 ET Summary Our annual global real GDP forecast for 2024 has been revised up from 2.3% to 2.5%. Global PMI data continues to point to a gradual improvement in economic conditions. Core inflation rates have continued to fall but the outlook is more unce...
2024-02-13 01:40:00 ET Summary Earnings haven’t been consistently rewarded in equity markets recently. That could change faster than you think. When seven giant stocks dominate returns, it’s hard for active managers to outperform the market. We think the pendulum...
2024-02-07 19:18:00 ET Summary Global output growth accelerated for a third straight month in January, according to the S&P Global PMI surveys. Financial services reported by far the strongest expansion of the major industries tracked by the global PMI, fueled in turn by resur...
2024-02-07 18:15:00 ET Summary The worldwide PMI surveys compiled by S&P Global Market Intelligence indicated a further deterioration of global trade in December, thereby extending the sequence of decline to nearly 2 years. The seasonally adjusted PMI New Export Orders Index p...
2024-01-31 04:28:00 ET Summary In Russell Investments’ factor portfolios, the Global Large Cap Growth, Momentum and Size factors outperformed the MSCI All-Country World Index during Q4, while the Global Large Cap Value and Low Volatility factors underperformed the index. The Gl...
2024-01-24 09:45:00 ET Summary Market volatility can shake the resolve of even the most patient investors. While most low-volatility strategies can provide some measure of risk mitigation in down markets, many fall short during market rallies. An active approach focused on QSP...
2024-01-20 02:05:00 ET Summary The improving news on inflation is paving the way for monetary policy pivots over the coming months. Global consumer price inflation forecasts for 2024-25 have been slightly reduced. We have revised down our forecast of US core Personal Con...