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2024-01-20 02:05:00 ET Summary The improving news on inflation is paving the way for monetary policy pivots over the coming months. Global consumer price inflation forecasts for 2024-25 have been slightly reduced. We have revised down our forecast of US core Personal Con...
2024-01-19 01:45:00 ET Summary Rate cuts don’t happen in a vacuum - staying nimble with asset allocation can help investors adapt. Our research shows that rate-cut periods leading up to recessions have been the most challenging, though some assets have done well. Except...
2024-01-18 04:08:00 ET Summary Growth ran hot for most of 2023; although it’s now slowing, GDP should remain positive for 2024. When combined, a soft economic landing and rate cuts would provide the best of both worlds for financial markets. Disinflation is further alon...
2024-01-11 03:41:00 ET Summary Economic growth is now cooling as global monetary tightening gradually takes its toll. Most central bankers have now adopted a more dovish stance, and rate cuts are likely in 2024. Rate cuts failing to materialize may drive extended U.S. Treasury...
2024-01-09 09:01:00 ET Summary Against long odds, 2023 marked a year of magnificent returns and the return of investor optimism. As fears of sticky inflation faded, a combination of global liquidity injections and AI optimism helped buoy markets and push a handful of mega-cap name...
2024-01-09 03:30:00 ET Summary The basic materials sector continued to record the sharpest downturn in goods trade according to more detailed sub-sector data. Measured across both goods and services, trade deteriorated across all the top 10 economies with the exception of India. ...
2024-01-05 03:00:00 ET Summary Average prices charged for goods and services rose globally at an unchanged rate in December. Energy was the strongest disinflationary price force, linked to lower oil prices. New order inflows will help assess upcoming demand-pull inflation pres...
2024-01-03 05:14:00 ET Summary Global manufacturing remained firmly in the doldrums in December, according to the latest JPMorgan Global Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index compiled by S&P Global. Global manufacturing output fell for a seventh month running in December, a...
2024-01-03 03:41:00 ET Summary Global equity markets posted healthy gains in 2023, but investors enter the new year with many concerns. As macroeconomic uncertainty lingers after a year of extreme market concentration, equity allocations should be prepared for a range of scenarios...
2023-12-09 05:12:00 ET Summary Demand conditions remained subdued globally, notably among consumers as well as for financial services and basic manufactured goods, albeit the latter showing some signs of a reduced inventory drag. Manufacturing output edged marginally lower globall...
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The potential pause of government services on Oct. 1 casts a shadow on various sectors — not least of which are education and research institutio...