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Compounding interpretation of the data now is the issue of the pandemic and the consequences of an ill-advised global economic shutdown. Some economists contend two quarters of negative GDP alone is not a sufficient indication of a recession. Certainly, some market sectors and ind...
Whether the U.S. is actually in a recession is debatable, but high inflation will affect companies both positively and negatively. The release of second-quarter Gross Domestic Product numbers late last month set off a debate around the state of the U.S. economy and whether it is curre...
Only 10% of the nation feels positive about the economy, and last month, consumer sentiment hit a record low. Climate change is submerging or parching dense and developed regions all over the globe. The greatest threat to our nation isn’t an economic recession, but losing t...
Economic data just released last week showed the economy contracting by -0.9% in the 2nd quarter after declining -1.6% in the first quarter of 2022. There are plenty of challenging forces surrounding us, including an overhanging recession, that could push you into a depression. ...
The second quarter was dominated by negative market sentiment amid worries over skyrocketing inflation and the risks of a global recession. The broad market selloff over the past few months led almost all markets to finish the second quarter with negative returns in U.S. dollars and l...
We don’t expect the slowdown in economies to result in a deep global recession. A repeat of the big increases in bond yields we saw in the first half of the year is unlikely. In this environment, higher quality credit is more attractive. Despite increasing pressures on prof...
Last Thursday, the Commerce Department announced its preliminary estimate for second-quarter GDP growth at an annualized decline of -0.9%, which marks two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth. The Commerce Department announced on Wednesday that durable goods orders increased a ...
Advanced estimates suggest real output declined for a second straight quarter in 2022, prompting many to debate whether we are in a recession and what that even means. First, note that overproduction does not mean above-trend production. Rather, it means producing more than is warrant...
We’ve had two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth, but what’s happening under the hood? The hangover of pandemic policies like lockdowns, in addition to fiscal, monetary, and regulatory policies animated by ideology rather than sound economic principles, are bear...
Throughout recorded economic history, there have been severe economic/market disruptions caused by known and unidentified imbalances not properly addressed in normal circumstances. The present imbalances I perceive as not being addressed can be characterized by the lack of sufficient ...