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GMI’s 10-year Sharpe ratio (SR) edged up for a fifth straight month to 0.86, the highest since January 2020, based on a rolling ten-year window via monthly data. Profiling GMI through a drawdown lens also reflects an extended stretch of low risk. GMI is useful as a baseline...
The projected risk premium for the Global Market held steady in July at an annualized 6.0%, unchanged from the previous month. Despite the recent bounce, GMI’s trailing 10-year performance remains well below the previous 8%-plus peak. No one really knows what risk premia wi...
The Delta variant of the coronavirus is rattling markets and poses real risks, but we should not be distracted from the successful impact of vaccinations. The effectiveness of vaccinations is the reason U.S. real GDP is back to pre-crisis levels amid this still-raging pandemic. Gl...
We see China’s regulatory crackdown that recently rattled markets likely to moderate, alongside a dovish shift in macro policy, for the near term. The Federal Reserve noted further progress in the economy as expected; we see a tapering of asset purchases unlikely to start befor...
Most of the major asset classes continued to rise in July, led by US real estate investment trusts (REITs). US equities continued trending higher. The bull run also persisted for the Global Market Index (GMI) in July. For further details see: Major Asset Classes: July 20...
As the world starts to recover from the pandemic, a range of factors are converging to create a new inflationary era. Crucially, the policy regime is changing, driven by the need to respond to emerging social and environmental challenges and help manage record peacetime debt levels. T...
Fortunately, the current year has been a bit kinder to prognosticators than the previous one. The bull market that began in 2009 didn’t end when the coronavirus panic pushed the S&P 500 down 34 percent from its previous high. The post-Covid rally, and particularly the fasci...
Some central banks are currently debating whether to tighten monetary policy to fight inflationary pressures, after having eased decisively in response to the COVID-19 shock. New IMF staff research has found ever larger and more powerful companies are making monetary policy a less pot...
Since last November’s vaccine news, financial markets have been "hanging ten" on a swell of cyclical, value and small-cap stocks, and rising Treasury yields. Crosswinds started to grow in the second quarter, however, as economic and inflation data ran hot: rising yields stalled...
The world economy has performed about as well as could be expected, if one takes as given the pandemic and the inadequate public health response. Global growth in 2020 was negative 3.3 per cent, which is very low historically. But the economic outlook is stronger now than one would ha...
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2024-05-30 13:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-01 05:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-19 20:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...