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Financial markets are reacting as expected to the heightened uncertainty. In the first days of the invasion, global equities plunged while safe-haven assets rallied. In short, while we have anticipated a broader, cyclical turn against the dollar could be underway, this shift in favor ...
Impact of sanctions against Russia. Boomerang effects of sanctions against Russia. Will the U.S. Fed continue its course to raise rates? For further details see: Will Historic Sanctions Against Russia Impact Global Interest Rates?
We are tactically upgrading equities as we see greater clarity on the Ukraine conflict and reduced risk of central banks slamming the brakes to curb inflation. The S&P 500 slid into correction territory as Russia invaded Ukraine last week, but rebounded afterward. Bond prices show...
We up our strategic overweight to developed market equities, but near-term elevated geopolitical tensions keep our tactical shopping basket on hold. Equities retreated as investors took renewed fright over the military stand-off involving Ukraine, helping pull down short-term bond yie...
Non-U.S. markets, including EM, DM, and Asia, are outperforming the U.S. markets after underperforming last year. After slightly underperforming growth last year, value is where the money is flowing. With the economy still in growth mode, cyclical stocks should do better than defe...
The outlook for demand growth remains uncertain. Developed world trends varied somewhat, reflecting the timing of the Omicron wave and differing supply chain trends. Output across both manufacturing and services was often constrained by ongoing supply chain delays. For furth...
For investors who want to earn a reasonable return without taking excessive risks, diversification still works, and we think you’re going to need more of it this year. The weighing of the high-flyers is not over. Commodities had another good week, and the 1-year return is getti...
For those investors who like the idea of buying and holding for the long term, international stocks are likely to dramatically outperform over the coming years. The SPDR Developed World ex-US ETF offers a well-diversified portfolio of international stocks, with much stronger long-term...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index edged down in January from the previous month’s estimate. Using short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors to adjust the forecast reduces GMI’s ex-ante risk premium to an annualized 5.4%. Th...
Despite ongoing inflation hype, the U.S. prices paid trend indicator peaked in June 2021 and turned down - this typically leads ISM Manufacturing prices by 2-3 months and suggests inflationary pressures will continue to reverse. Commodities are signalling a similar story, with the Gol...
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2024-05-30 13:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-01 05:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-19 20:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...