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2024-06-15 08:30:00 ET Summary Inflation has come down, but the Federal Reserve has left interest rates at their high levels. That has led many to wonder, "What are they thinking?" The Fed’s policymaking committee members continue to emphasize a few points: their goals, the...
2024-06-14 23:00:00 ET Summary Recent focus has centered on the Federal Open Market Committee’s dot plot, which now suggests just one rate cut in 2024. A closer examination reveals the committee is divided, with more participants (8 out of 19) anticipating two rate cuts thi...
2024-06-14 21:20:00 ET Summary The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kept the benchmark policy rate at 5.25%-5.50% at its June meeting for the seventh consecutive meeting. More significantly, the latest dot plot revealed that the FOMC’s median projection has removed two ...
2024-06-14 09:45:00 ET Summary One softer-than-expected monthly inflation reading didn’t stop Federal Reserve officials from delaying the expected start of interest rate cuts. After these surprisingly firm core PCE readings earlier this year, Fed officials confirmed that th...
2024-06-14 07:50:00 ET Summary While interest rates fell during the Depression, economic growth and inflationary pressures remained robust. Rising debt levels, increased deficits, productivity, and wage suppression erode economic growth, not support it. Even if Grant is correc...
2024-06-14 06:30:00 ET Summary The Fed should cut rates. July would be the right time to start, in my opinion. There are numerous signs that cutting could be appropriate - rising unemployment, rising claims, falling hourly earnings and core PCE that is likely to be at 2.55% in May...
2024-06-13 12:40:00 ET Summary Data can look good or bad, depending on the time frame, (i.e. monthly, 3-month annualized, 6-month annualized, year-over-year) so look across various frames. As technical analysts have stated over the years, “price is everything”, meani...
2024-06-13 12:25:00 ET Summary The Fed forecasts the US unemployment rate to rise to 4.2% in 2025, 80 bps above the 3.4% cycle low in 2022. The Fed is incongruently predicting US GDP growth of 2% in 2025. Market cycles tend to be hard on those who lack attention or understandi...
2024-06-13 12:05:00 ET Summary The Fed's American exceptionalism problem. US inflation is falling, so why can't the Fed lower rates? Why the Fed is indicating just one rate cut in the cards for 2024. ... Read the full article on Seeking Alpha For furt...
2024-06-13 10:55:00 ET Summary Core services CPI increased by 2.7% annualized in May from April (0.22% not annualized), the smallest increase since October 2021. Rent of Primary Residence CPI rose by 4.8% annualized in May from April, an acceleration from the prior month. Moto...
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2024-07-06 16:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-26 19:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-07 04:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...