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Summary As central banks battled inflation, interest rates soared and recession fears mounted. Now, central banks must slow their pace of tightening and carefully calibrate a soft landing. We address the challenges of a global slowdown, the benefits of higher yields and strategies f...
Summary The Fed’s interest rate and liquidity tools are blunt instruments, particularly in a service-oriented economy. If inflation indeed moderates from here, it is likely that interest rate volatility moderates alongside it. Monetary policy has created the asset-on/asset-of...
Summary Emerging market and high yield bond markets have improved in recent weeks, indicated by both aggregate and issuer-specific developments. There has been a general improvement in risk appetite during the last month, based on expectations of a less-severe upward trajectory for poli...
Summary Amid the crosscurrents, two themes have prevailed during the post-pandemic years, which lend some perspective to the macroeconomic roadmap ahead: namely, the bipolar swings in macro policy and the forces of economic normalization. After one of the worst years for fixed income as...
Summary Emerging market debt investors face headwinds in the last quarter of the year, thanks to monetary tightening, geopolitical tensions, energy crises, and economic weakness in China. But despite the uncertainty, we have a constructive medium-term view. Here we take a look...
Summary Central banks across emerging markets have reacted to elevated inflation by significantly tightening monetary policy, in some cases, well ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank. After largely synchronized rate-hiking cycles across EM, monetary poli...
Summary The global economy has been hit by several headwinds, almost all of them leading back to higher inflation. Europe is likely already in recession, the U.S. will enter recession in Q2 2023, while China struggles to make recovery headway. Markets have faced up to the reality ...
Summary Barclays Aggregate is down almost as much as the S&P 500 YTD. As of 10/31/22, the YTD return on high yield is far better than the return on corporate high-grade. There is relative value being created in the various bond market asset classes. Looking at th...
Summary Financial markets have entered a period of head-spinning volatility. Consumer inflation remains at record highs across major developed economies. Higher yields will bring new income-generating opportunities and significant shifts in risk-return assessments. ...
Summary For the most part, 2022 has unfolded largely on script, with inflation proving stubborn and the Federal Reserve seeking to cut off the spigot. Despite the general monetary trend toward stiff tightening on a global basis, individual countries continue to initiate moves to s...
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2024-07-21 06:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-11 03:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-21 06:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...