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November’s modest uptick in volatility, driven by a recalibration of the market’s macroeconomic expectations, could be a sign of things to come. On the surface, November may have appeared to be another month of quiet, range-bound fixed income markets. While we have n...
The Fed confirmed that it will taper its asset purchase program starting later in November, while the Bank of England (BOE) fell just short of raising rates at its November meeting. 55% of managers expect inflation in the U.S. for the next 12 months to stand between 2.26% and 2.75%, w...
The Federal Reserve gave a very blunt warning about the possibility for risk assets to lose money soon. The Fed's Financial Stability Report points to several major risks that it is trying to mitigate, including valuations, China and potential higher interest rates. The chief risk...
IHS Markit's PMI surveys track input costs at manufacturing and service sector companies around the world, as well as the average prices charged for these goods and services. The Global PMI's selling price index hit an all-time high of 60.3 with record highs seen for both goods and se...
Digitalization in India has been advancing at a rapid pace since 2016, thanks to government initiatives, inexpensive mobile data, and a significant step-up of venture capital and private equity funding. In 2016, the government started its flagship “Digital India” initiat...
The interesting thing is that, depending on how you define “global stock market capitalization”, the US stock market is not nearly as big as we think. If we use the actual full market capitalization the US stock market is just 41% of global equities. But if we use the in...
The major US equity indices moved in concert, but the big disappointment so far this year has been small caps. Energy is clearly where the action is this year. After spending years at the bottom of the tables, Natural Gas, Gasoline, and Crude Oil now lead the pack. For furth...
Low Vol has been in the doldrums for most of the equity rally from the pandemic lows of March 2020, as would be expected based on its historical return patterns. Well-established academic research has found that stocks with lower volatility (or beta) tend to generate higher risk-adjus...
Consensus remains cautiously positive on the economic and market outlook for the coming year, but for the first time in 18 months, we have started trimming risk in our views, advocating building dry powder to take advantage of opportunities that arise due to potential short-term market vo...
Investors have shifted focus from the immediate COVID-19 threat to the prospect of a cyclical slowdown and secular stagflation. Investors may also need to process a longer-term adjustment, because of the lasting impact of COVID-19’s shocks to both supply and demand. Markets...
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2024-07-01 05:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-11 07:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-01 07:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...