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The US stock market is structurally over-bullish with short-term sentiment jitters periodically resetting the bull. Despite divergences in market breadth, the headline index trends are firmly up. Despite valuation at historical highs, cyclical markets like stocks and commodities a...
Stocks have rallied on a belief that the Fed is taking a dovish tilt heading into the Jackson Hole Symposium. However, that tone is changing heading into tomorrow's event following some hawkish Fed governor's comments on Aug. 27. The bulls may be caught completely offside ignoring...
Long leading indicators generally turn down at least one year before the economy as a whole, and up six months in advance of a renewed expansion. There are 7 categories of such metrics with good historical records. While 6 of the 7 are positive for the short term, 3 turn negative ...
Global real GDP reached a new high in the second quarter of 2021, completing a year-long recovery from the COVID-19 recession. The resilience of the global economy amid a lingering pandemic suggests that the world is learning to live with the COVID-19 virus. Western Europe's consu...
Anyone who has been following the U.S. monthly economic data lately has noticed that the rate of inflation has been rising over the past year as the unemployment rate has fallen. When the Phillips curve first came to widespread attention in the late 1950s and early 1960s, it was inter...
This year’s global symposium of central bankers, policymakers, and academic economists in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, comes at a very important juncture for Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. The most recent Federal Open Market Committee meeting minutes showed that officials ha...
A softening of sentiment indicators comes as rates already sit close to the bottom of their recent range. Positioning might push them lower still, but EUR rates, in particular, are already consistent with more central bank support next year. The belly of the US curve trades cheap,...
The “new normal,” we believe, can be analyzed into two major categories: monetary and fiscal, on one hand, and technological, social, and political on the other. In both categories, the “new normal” long predates the pandemic, which has served mainly to acc...
Factors driving inflation higher in the last few months eased in July. Orlando: It takes a long time for the supply, demand mismatch to even out. Orlando: Economic recovery the most important factor for overall inflation. For further details see: Has The U.S. Inflation W...
The rapid rise in house prices has stirred up the old debate debate about how the BLS calculates housing’s contribution to the CPI. This is no small debate since the US housing market is essentially the economy, mortgage debt comprises 75% of all household debt AND shelter is 3...
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2024-06-21 07:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-21 04:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-01 08:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...