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Supply chain problems are acute, but also a part of a more structural peak globalization issue. Inflation is from physical constraints as well as money supply growth. A look at tech stocks vs. oil performance over the past 50 years. For further details see: Supply Chain ...
Stability breeds instability. This steady climb foreshadows a fragility shock. Our caution signs are on yellow. We warned that the summer would be like a rollercoaster, and it has been for most stocks. Is the “back to work” trade coming back to life? We think it may ...
If the unemployment rate is too high for the Fed’s mandate, ending QE might be more effective at solving that problem than continuing it, but I doubt stocks would like it - and that seems to matter to the Fed today. The economy is a multi-faceted, global beast which is controll...
Strategas Investment Strategist Ryan Grabinski dives deep into recent updates to the Baird Market Gauge ("Sentiment" moved to Favorable from Unfavorable) and hints at a few areas to watch over the coming months. The S&P is trading at about 22x forward earnings, which is elevated. ...
The general view is that interest rates aren't going to rise immediately, despite inflation. It's also the general view that the Fed will start to taper bond purchases soon enough. But the second is the first; tapering is a rise in market interest rates. So, be prepared for rates ...
The preliminary PMI estimates have already been released for many countries and are often good enough for investors. China's PMI is an exception. While Beijing continues to press with its regulatory and social reforms, economic policymakers are eschewing large-scale fiscal or monetary...
This unique risk indicator points to a higher than usual probability of a selloff or correction in the US stock market. The indicator tracks the degree of trading activity in bullish leveraged equity ETFs relative to inverse/bearish ETFs. It is one of a growing list of risk indica...
One cannot overstate the critical role played by central banking, especially now that their policies so dictate market excess. It was recognized generations ago that the risk inherent in discretionary central banking was that one mistake would invariably lead to a series of Bigger Mis...
Fed chair Jerome Powell spoke today and the stock market rose feeling confident that the Federal Reserve will continue to underwrite further increases in stock prices. The U.S. dollar declined in value after the speech reflecting the fact that many market participants still believe th...
While the spread of the delta variant has dented near-term growth, better days are ahead as we all get vaccinated. We are enthused by the long-term opportunity to significantly improve S&P operating margins, earnings, cash flow, and returns on invested capital. The best long-t...
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2024-06-21 07:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-21 04:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-01 08:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...