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Regardless of what happens with the economy and bonds over the rest of the year, we are nearing peak exuberance in stocks. Most people fear that a slowing economy will be the trigger for a stock market selloff, but that may be the wrong worry. Bear markets are generally associated wit...
This week was a Triple Witch Week in the markets. Triple Witches are the four days in the calendar year that feature the expiration of four different option indices. While the volume was and still is quite large on Triple Witches, the volatility is usually pretty subdued. The thing to...
This week's Sentiment Survey report by the American Association of Individual Investors showed bullish sentiment fell over 16 percentage points to 22.45% versus the prior week. This is the lowest bullishness reading since the end of July 2020 reading of 20.23%. For further detai...
Is September as bad for stocks as the media would have you believe? Is a significant correction imminent, and does the "September effect" make it more likely? The bifurcated market... the shoe may be moving to the other foot. For further details see: The Worst Month For ...
With year-end just several months away, money managers great and small are focused laser-like on year-end returns. But the environment is looking a little twitchier as Q4 approaches. Peak growth, sticky inflation, ongoing supply chain problems, high valuations and potentially disrupti...
The language being using to describe this market is "frustrating, but not fatal." The headline indexes have continued to grind higher, but this is a market that has been correcting, consolidating, and churning under the surface for most of the summer. The idea of an economic “g...
The latest numbers from the Atlanta Fed indicate that wage growth is continuing to pick up, with August wages up 3.9%, based on a three-month moving average. The latest small-business sentiment survey from the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) shows that the record av...
In terms of central bank meetings, the week ahead is one of the busiest. In our understanding, the market has been anticipating this meeting since the spring to provide further guidance that the Fed will reduce the pace of bond purchases. The Dollar Index bottomed, and the Bannock...
Investors have been trained to buy the dip when the S&P 500 hits the 50-day moving average. However, the fundamentals in the market have changed and are no longer favorable. It means this time may not have the same fairytale ending. For further details see: Buying Th...
We can attribute the weakness on Friday to “quadruple witching,” where every type of option (stock index futures, stock index options, stock options, and single stock futures) all expired simultaneously. With the market very oversold, a counter-trend bounce next week wil...
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2024-06-21 07:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-21 04:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-01 08:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...