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On 16 September, the Federal Reserve surprised many observers by releasing new forward guidance on interest rates earlier than anticipated. This follows another earlier-than-expected release of its framework review conclusions during the Jackson Hole symposium last month (for details, see our ...
By Robert Hughes Initial claims for regular state unemployment insurance totaled 860,000 for the week ending September 12, down 33,000 from the previous week's upwardly revised tally of 893,000 (see first chart). The latest week is the lowest level since the implementation of lockdowns in ...
By Brian Levitt, Global Market Strategist History suggests waiting until a new president’s policies take shape hinders rather than helps long-term results. I was recently giving my usual spiel to clients about the importance of staying the course with their investments throu...
By Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. The BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) data come out with a lag, so we are now just getting a look at the July numbers. They do, however, help fill in some of the labor dynamics that are occurring within the economy as we adjust to the COVID-19 pa...
October is a historically volatile month (see October '08, October '87), and the VIX tends to peak in the month, "jumping to [a level of] more than 21... on average over the past 30 years" ( CNBC ), where we even get the so-called October effect or Mark Twain effect. And this October is a part...
It’s been a dramatic few weeks in the equity market, and retail investors are driving it, Roger Hirst told Real Vision during today’s Daily Briefing. Retail investors are trading small and often in an options-led equity exuberance, and as a result, the institutional whal...
By Michael J. Fleisher Value stocks have lagged growth stocks for some time, but the disparity has become particularly acute this year. Growth stocks have rebounded from their March lows, while value stocks generally remain below the breakeven point as measured by the Russell 1000 Growth a...
By Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist Weekly Market Compass: A greener economy and a rise in small businesses may be a silver lining for long-term growth. It's back to school season, and that invariably reminds me of my own education and all that I enjoyed learning whe...
I have in the past forecast stock market returns using a formula that is, in fact, a tautology - which Webster defines as a statement that is true by virtue of its logical form alone. That formula is shown in the following picture. (Source: Target Date Solutions) My challenge in the past h...
Editors' Note: This is the transcript of the podcast we posted last week. Please note that due to time and audio constraints, transcription may not be perfect. We encourage you to listen to the podcast, embedded below, if you need any clarification. We hope you enjoy. Sign up fo...
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2024-05-20 17:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-10 17:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-21 04:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...