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One of the responsibilities of a prudent investment manager is to avoid as many meaningful surprises as possible. A meaningful surprise is one that prevents the accomplishment of a strategic goal. Also, some surprises won't be anticipated, but will be helped by a quick reaction coming...
Recently, President-Elect Joe Biden named Janet Yellen to be his administration's Treasury Secretary. Yellen quickly proclaimed the reason "I became an economist was because I was concerned about the toll of unemployment on people, families, and communities." Such provides excellent c...
The dynamics of tech stocks in 2020 have shown strong similarities with the late 1990s following the correction in Q3 1998. Bear investors should not underestimate the force of liquidity in 2021; another 3tr USD of liquidity is expected to reach market. The high-volatility regime ...
I track 63 domestic equity funds in 14 different Lipper Categories. In this article, I look at the performance of up to three of the best funds per Lipper Category since December 2005, as well as during bull and bear markets. The average of the Lipper Categories are plotted by per...
As we say good riddance to 2020, we enter 2021 with a confidence that new market and business cycles have arisen. We believe the economy, out of the depths of the COVID-induced recession, has entered what will be a protracted recovery, complete with the inevitable fits and starts, as ...
Over the past couple of weeks, we have talked about a short-term correction potential due to selling pressure from annual mutual fund distributions. We saw that taking place this past week with the market struggling to maintain its breakout levels. With the heavily skewed "put-cal...
The blistering IPO market is but one of the myriad late-cycle manifestations of Acute Monetary Disorder. November's record $121 billion ETF inflow - boosting the y-t-d flow tsunami to a record $659 billion. SPACs and frenetic retail call option buying (one can only imagine current hed...
The Wisconsin Department of Revenue has released its Economic Outlook, dated November 22nd. Notice the drop in employment in October's numbers. It's unclear whether this outcome is a product of measurement error or representative of an actual drop in activity (that observation point i...
With the US suffering another coronavirus wave, the odds remain low that inflation will accelerate sharply in the near term. The Treasury market is certainly pricing in a firmer run of inflation expectations lately. Some corners of the economy suggest that pricing pressure is boun...
The month of compromise has delivered two so far. OPEC+ agreed on output targets for next year while the EU27 gave their backing to the 2021-27 budget and recovery fund. That just leaves Brexit and US fiscal stimulus outstanding, with a positive outcome in both cases making this a rat...
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2024-05-20 17:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-10 17:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-21 04:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...