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The US petroleum report, called "This Week In Petroleum", comes out every week on Wednesday. It gives us very real time information about the state of US petroleum production and usage. I find this report useful for it provides us year-over-year comparisons in demand that may give us a hint ab...
The U.S. Federal Reserve finally backed off from hiking short-term interest rates in the U.S., choosing to keep the target range of 2.25-2.50% for the Federal Funds Rate. The risk that the U.S. economy will enter into a national recession at some time in the next twelve months now stands a...
By Jerry Wagner Last weekend, I visited New York City to have a partial knee replacement on my left leg to match last May's version on the right. I sat for over an hour as the plane was prepared and de-iced in the middle of what seemed to be unending snowfall. As I watched the snowflakes d...
By Jill Mislinski In Wednesday morning's ADP employment report, we got the January estimate of 213K new nonfarm private employment jobs from ADP, a decrease over December's revised 263K. The popular spin on this indicator is as a preview to the monthly jobs report from the Bureau of Labor ...
Introduction In my last post, I addressed the issue of what to look out for as regards construction employment in the jobs report. In this post, I take a look at manufacturing. Historical relationships between manufacturing hours and employment The two sets of two graphs below compare ma...
US companies added 213,000 workers to payrolls this month, according to the ADP National Employment Report . Although the monthly increase is below December's strong 263,000 gain, the latest number still reflect a healthy expansion for the labor market. The release goes a long way in dismissi...
By Jeremy Schwartz, CFA Research reports on share buybacks (and popular hit jobs in the press) tend to focus on the large-cap segment of the market, but the small-cap story is just as important. In a recent post, we showed that although buybacks generate much controversy as a form of c...
By Liz Ann Sonders Most regular readers know that I keep a close eye on leading economic indicators, especially at possible economic inflection points. There are two popular indexes that track a multitude of individual leading indicators - one published by The Conference Board (TCB) and on...
The Q4 2018 earnings season continued to pick up steam this week as another 100+ companies reported. Next week things kick into full gear, however, with an estimated 325+ companies set to report. Below we take a look at the numbers we've seen so far this season. As shown in the first chart b...
What happened last week. What we're watching for next week. Fun with numbers I keep reading bloggers and pundits and strategists saying that the correction is over because the market is up 13.3% from its recent low on December 24th. The rationale seems to be "you can't dismiss a 13.3% ra...