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Summary For the first time in years, the “real” forward rates depicted are all positive. When the real forward rate is a positive number, it implies that the monetary policy in the medium term is restrictive. Japan has now joined the club of restrictive monetary ...
Summary The global economy has been hit by several headwinds, almost all of them leading back to higher inflation. Europe is likely already in recession, the U.S. will enter recession in Q2 2023, while China struggles to make recovery headway. Markets have faced up to the reality ...
Summary We see central banks on a path to overtighten policy. Their balance sheet reductions up selling pressure on government bonds, so we’re underweight. We think rates will - and may already have - hit levels that make recessions foretold. That isn’t yet reflected...
Summary Central banks across the globe are not in lock step with the U.S. Fed. Could this limit what the Fed could do? Will the Fed start signaling a less hawkist direction for rates? Finding bright spots in the fixed income market. Bank of Canada raised overnight ...
Summary Will the fourth 75 basis-point rate hike be the last major rise before the Fed downshifts in December? Next week’s FOMC decision is widely expecting a unanimous vote for one last major rate increase. Inflation has hit double-digits and remains the ECB’s numbe...
Summary With inflationary pressures and recessionary fears remaining top-of-mind, equity managers see no short-term end to the bumpy ride in markets. One of the key risks cited by equity managers in our third-quarter report is the possibility of inflation remaining stuck at high l...
Summary The latest flash PMI data showed that Australia's private sector economy shrank for the first time since the start of the year in October. The au Jibun Bank Flash Japan Composite PMI showed the Japanese economy expanding for a second straight month in October and at the st...
Summary The Japanese Ministry of Finance (MOF) intervened in FX markets for the first time since 1998 to support the currency. But the prime minister spoke of another catalyst that forced the MOF to intervene: speculative bets on the yen. Japan will continue to intervene as ap...
Summary Wall Street will pay close attention to the first look at third-quarter GDP. This is the critical week for guidance from mega-cap tech that will either make or break risk appetite. A new week will bring a new Prime Minister in the UK, the third in two months, following...
Summary October flash PMI data will provide much needed insights into the risk of some of the world's major economies falling into recession. Falling or near-stalled output was seen across the four largest developed economies - the 'G4'. Only Japan recorded expansion, and even her...
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2024-04-21 07:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-11 08:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-12 07:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...