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German inflation has given financial markets another headache on top of Fed and Bank of England tightening this year. Core bonds are at the epicentre of the market reaction, but stress could quickly spread to riskier debt. We also attempt to answer some of the questions raised by ...
House price growth in the eurozone is at its highest since 2006 as housing markets were supported by a limited impact of the pandemic on household finances, rising savings, historically low-interest rates, favorable financing conditions, and changing preferences. The improved macropru...
The past week has been dominated by Omicron news as we all try to piece together the limited information we have and determine what it all means for the coming months. The RBA and BoC both hold meetings next week and will likely be armed with little more information than OPEC+ had on ...
Data is coming out in favour of those arguing inflation will remain persistent, and this means durably higher front-end volatility. It will take time for central banks to catch up to the market’s view. Depressed long-end rates will be more persistent, until markets accept t...
The Fed appears like a beacon of stability compared with other central banks. It has set a clear timeline for its tightening. As long as the market believes that timeline, rates should continue to converge higher. Volatility is expected to remain elevated, but this will not necess...
The global recovery continues but momentum has weakened, hobbled by the pandemic. Compared to our July forecast, the global growth projection for 2021 has been revised down marginally to 5.9 percent and is unchanged for 2022 at 4.9 percent. The dangerous divergence in economic pro...
The recovery of the European economies in the first eight months of this year from the pandemic-induced recession has been impressive. The rapid uptake of new work led to a marked increase in euro-area employment at one of the fastest rates in two decades. Economic growth in Europ...
After the pandemic’s initial spending splurge, the bill is due, and global growth is mean-reverting again. Treasury yields are confirming the disinflationary ride as we thought that they should. Similar trends are unfolding in the great hot north, with Canadian government b...
The Eurozone’s economy as measured by GDP expanded by 2% q/q in the second quarter, significantly faster than expected, indeed faster than the economies of the US and China. The most important driver of the Flash Composite PMI for July was the Flash Eurozone Services PMI Activi...
We think inflation is likely to fall back, but we are more sensitive to upside risk than at the start of the year. Evidence of longer-term investment in more and more sectors continues to build. Flexibility and a tactical approach across the full range of credit markets has been a...
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2024-07-01 09:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-21 10:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-30 19:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...