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Deutsche Bank (DB) put out an imprecise piece of research saying that higher debt levels mean higher government interest payments. This isn't really true because the government can technically set its interest rates at whatever it wants. For instance, there was nothing stopping the Fed from ...
Last December, I participated in an AEI event where I made the case that the Fed's current floor operating system could collapse into a corridor operating system fairly soon. My argument was that even without a significant reduction in the supply of reserves, a large shift in the demand for ...
The following is an excerpt from a recent weekly market comment featured in The Felder Report PREMIUM. "Somehow we need to go to an economy that is using its resources, operating at full employment, but doing so in a way that isn't reliant on bubbles." -Janet Yellen This quote, uttered...
In this commentary, Brian Meaney, Vice President, Taxable Fixed Income Strategist, reviews the first quarter of 2019 and examines our outlook and positioning for the months ahead. Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha Read more ...
After raising interest rates and getting slapped around by the markets last year, the Fed now appears to accept that future monetary policy can only be easy, even at the cost of ever-larger and more destabilizing financial bubbles. On one hand, this is a truly epochal change. On the other hand...
At the Wednesday closing, it took only 1.1155 euros to purchase one dollar. One week ago, it took 1.1300 euros to buy one dollar. On December 31, 2018, one dollar cost 1.1460 euros. One year ago, one dollar cost almost 1.2200 euros. The general tendency in the market place was for the ...
The Federal Reserve's decision in early 2019 to pause on interest rate hikes is widely credited as a key factor in the stock market's U-turn this year following the sharp correction in equities in late-2018. But the recent uptick in the Effective Federal Funds rate ((EFF)) suggests that the ...
By Sharat Kotikalpudi The US yield curve dipped into inverted territory recently. But that's not necessarily a bad omen for equities. There are several important warning signals - and lately, the yield curve's slope is the only one flashing red. The curve plots the gap between long- and ...
Posted by Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist on April 22, 2019, in Market & Economic The view of future growth remains blurry for the world - including the US, China and Europe. In the past several months, we have seen central banks make an abrupt turn toward...
Summary and Paper Thesis Although an inverted yield curve led to a recession almost without exception in the last 50 years within a relatively short period of time after the inversion happened, this paper asserts that the inverted yield curve that happened in March and April of 2019 will n...
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2024-06-26 02:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-27 07:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-06 17:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...