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The U.S. and China vow to dig in their heels as simmering trade tensions between the two countries risk boiling over into an all-out trade war. Kim Parlee speaks with Scott Colbourne , Managing Director at TD Asset Management, about the potential economic impact of tit-for-tat tariffs ...
Let's start with the good news: while many worry indicators are rising today, along with the decline in stocks, the US dollar is weaker. It will be hard to declare if a risk-off environment has fully gripped the markets without a meaningful surge in the safe-haven dollar (see figure 4), which ...
China, the largest foreign holder of U.S. bonds, cut its holdings of U.S. government paper by $10B to $1.12T in March, a two-year low, according to Treasury International Capital data. More news on: Invesco 1-30 Laddered Treasury Portfolio ETF, iShares Core U.S. Treasury Bond ETF, BlackR...
In the past few years, I wrote a lot about the unprecedented credit crisis I foresee. I call it “The Great Reset.” I have to add, it isn’t what I think the future should look like or what I want to see. But almost the entire developed world has painted itself into a...
By William J. Luther There is little doubt that the Federal Reserve's failure to stabilize nominal spending in 2008 and 2009 resulted in a severe economic contraction . Production slumped and the unemployment rate climbed to 10 percent. But, in recent years, some have claimed that monetar...
Maybe it's a reaction to the recent escalation in the US-China trade conflict. Or perhaps the crowd is turning more cautious because of the runup in global equity markets earlier in 2019, before the trade row between Washington and Beijing undercut the bulls. Whatever the reason, yields on key...
Since I have been updating many of my expectations this week, I thought I would write a quick article on bonds too. To recap where we have come from, we successfully called the top to the bond market back in 2016, and then re-entered the long side of the bond market when [[TLT]] dropped just...
By Jenna Barnard, CFA Foreign bonds can offer diversification benefits, but many non-U.S. developed markets offer subpar yields. Jenna Barnard, Co-Head of Strategic Fixed Income, argues how this seeming disadvantage can be turned into a benefit for U.S. dollar-based bond strategies that p...
By Kevin Flanagan I don't want to bore you with just another blog post on the Fed. So, instead of debating whether the policymakers at the Fed should cut rates, stay on the sidelines or, dare I say it, raise rates, let's turn our attention elsewhere... their balance sheet. The Fed has been...
Editor's note: Originally published at tsi-blog.com on May 14, 2019. [This blog post is an excerpt from a recent TSI commentary] Here is our monthly update on what's happening on the monetary inflation front in a few different regions/countries. The G2 (US plus euro-zone) monetary ...
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2024-06-26 02:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-27 07:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-06 17:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...