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By Kevin Flanagan The current landscape for the fixed income arena can be defined by two key factors. The first, of course, is the current, as well as prospective, shape of the yield curve. The second is that, according to Federal Reserve (Fed) data, households have been stashing away larg...
Scarcely a day goes by without a flood of new articles in the financial media expressing shock and disbelief over Treasury yields. It's not just that they are wrong, these say, it's that they have to be wrong. What they are implying just isn't compatible with what "everyone" is expected to bel...
A number of recent articles suggest that Chinese officials may reduce their purchases of U.S. government bonds. It is very unlikely that China can do so in any meaningful way, because doing so would almost certainly be costly for Beijing. And even if China took this step, it would have either...
Morgan Stanley calculates that an adjusted yield curve -- that takes into account quantitative easing and tightening -- has been inverted for the past six months. More news on: VelocityShares Daily Inverse VIX Medium-Term ETN, iPath S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN, ProShares VIX Mid...
If, ten years ago, I had told you that there were going to be negative yielding bonds you would have thought, "Poor Mark, he has lost his mind." Well, ten years ago I did not say it, and now we are all faced with a $10.475 trillion reality of bonds with negative yields. This has all been cause...
"Life is not always like chess. Just because you have the king surrounded, don't think he is not capable of hurting you." - Ron Livingston Looking at the results in the European elections promising more turmoil ahead between Italy and the European Commission, on top of the continuation of ...
By Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. In advance of the release of the FOMC's May minutes, speculation in the press and by financial market participants was that the Committee might cut the Federal Funds target rate. The main line of conjecture centered on how long the FOMC could continue to miss its...
By Jeffrey Kleintop Over the past 30 years, stock markets around the world have rallied after the Federal Reserve (Fed) hiked interest rates for the last time in the economic cycle. The rallies have varied in length and strength, but eventually break down as the late cycle environment enco...
Macro News European Elections: For the first time since the inception of the European Parliament, the two centre parties - the European People Party ((EPP)) and Socialists and Democrats (S&D) - have lost their combined majority on the back of a strengthening nationalist, liberal and gr...
As many long-term followers of my economic research are well aware, I have been a bull on Treasury bonds since 2017, citing slower economic growth and weaker inflation. Interest Rates Will Always Follow Nominal GDP Growth Trends: Source: BEA, FRED, BLS, EPB Macro Research I started...
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2024-06-26 02:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-27 07:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-06 17:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...