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"The perfect storm" has become a cliché, but the current setup for a 2019 recession just became so text-book perfect in alignment of the three most critical recessionary forces that I have to use it. Let me start by noting that a stock market that rallies because the news is bad - as ha...
If you are a dreamer come in If you are a dreamer a wisher a liar A hoper a pray-er a magic-bean-buyer If you're a pretender com sit by my fire For we have some flax golden tales to spin Come in! Come in! - Shel Silverstein Money created from nothing. The Alchemist's dream....
The bond market is putting a lot of pressure on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell to start rate cuts in July and to signal such in the upcoming June 19th FOMC meeting. A meeting date two days prior to traders' often volatile June quadruple witch. To think that positions are not being taken for this "...
By Kathy A Jones Returns for fixed income investors have been very strong year-to-date in 2019. If you were invested, it's likely that you got a positive return. Every fixed income asset class, from the "risk-free" to the riskiest, has posted gains thanks to the steep drop in long-term int...
By Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. Markets and pundits were hyperventilating this past week over the prospect that the FOMC might cut the Fed Funds rate at its June or perhaps at its July meeting, driven by concerns that the economy might be slowing, as reflected in the disappointing employment re...
Originally published on June 6, 2019 Dumb and Dumber Esquire Just when you thought media/pundit commentary on the market and the economy couldn't get anymore inane and stupid, they surprise you by plumbing a new depth. This article from CNBC, "These charts show how Fed Chair Jerome...
The Treasury market continues to downgrade US inflation expectations, which suggests that the case is strengthening for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The widely followed spread for nominal and inflation-indexed 5-year Notes fell to 1.53% yesterday (June 12), based on daily data publishe...
To help be a better investment forecaster, I think it's critical to understand the past. To know what's been, so as to know what'll be again. The strong dollar and slowing credit growth have certainly contributed to the slowdown in inflation of late. The future of inflation is probably going...
The bond market seesaw continues. Following April's increases, yields for 10-year government bonds fell in May amid trade tensions, economic and monetary uncertainty, and political drama, with most sinking by double digits. The U.S. Treasury 10-year mid-yield plunged by 36.5 basis points, tr...
By Kevin Flanagan, Head of Fixed Income Strategy To watch the money and bond markets of late, there is one development that stands out quite clearly: the Federal Reserve (Fed) has to cut interest rates. In fact, from the markets' perspective, trade uncertainty plus economic weakness equals...
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2024-06-26 02:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-27 07:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-06 17:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...