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Global markets tumble on Russian attack on Ukraine. Russian inflation stokes stagflation fears. Commodities the big winner in Russian attack. For further details see: Markets Sell Off As Russia Attacks Ukraine: What's At Stake For Investors?
The problem for Western leaders is that their governing elites have incoherent views towards Russia, and it is unclear how much this will change. The implication is that if fighting were to continue, it would be in the form of an insurgency. Government spending that is not tied to...
It seems likely that Russia’s overwhelming military force will eventually prevail and Ukraine’s government and independence will succumb. Inflation is already elevated and rising energy prices will likely exacerbate pricing pressure further. Russia’s growing e...
Russia's recognition of the Donetsk and Lugansk People's Republics (DLPR) has sparked global outrage and triggered the first tranche of sanctions. Although Russian markets are closed for a public holiday, offshore trading shows a continued sell-off in Russian USD debt. We take a l...
Inflation is money, therefore a true central bank should be able to judge whether or not there is too much. If there is, inflation’s going to be coming unless some intervention in the real money system. Instead, policymakers attempt to reverse-engineer their way into the inflat...
Forecasting macro activity and managing expectations have become substantially more difficult. As the West imposes sanctions on Russia, the potential for a severe supply shock lurks – particularly for oil and natural gas. Macroeconomic risk will rise, perhaps leading to a n...
The economic hit of sanctions is undoubtedly highest for Russia. The United States does not suffer a relevant impact from sanctions to Russia. The impact of geopolitical risk has made energy and food prices soar higher all over the world. For further details see: The Ste...
10Y US Treasuries and Bund currently hover respectively around 16bp and 9bp below their roughly 3-year highs. This does not suggest that the market assigns a high probability to a significant deterioration in the situation in Ukraine, but current levels reflect an unstable path between tw...
Future expectations, new orders, and jobs growth improved. The upturn in demand led to a steep rise in backlogs of uncompleted work, which showed the largest increase for six months. A record-high rate of inflation in the service sector was accompanied by a near-record rate in man...
Current inflation is supply-led rather than demand-led. Time and market forces will ease this current bout of high inflation. Asia and Europe could use a more accommodative policy than the U.S. For further details see: The Supply-Led Inflation Challenge
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UBS AG FI Enhanced Europe 50 ETN due February 12 2026 Company Name:
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UBS AG announced today the Call Settlement Amounts for the below three UBS-issued exchange traded notes set forth in the following table (collectively, the “ETNs”). Table-1 [1] The table above provides a hyperlink to the relevant prospectus and supplements theret...
UBS AG announced today that it will redeem all of the outstanding securities in each of the two series of UBS-issued exchange traded notes set forth in the following table (collectively, the “ETNs”). UBS AG expects to deliver redemption notices with respect to each of the ETNs to ho...
UBS AG announced today that it will not issue any new notes in three of its outstanding custom ETNs (the “Custom ETNs”), which are listed in Table-1 below. In addition, UBS AG will cap the maximum number of each Custom ETN that could be outstanding at any time to the numbe...