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Following a 14% rally in the MSCI Russia Index in 2021, the index has posted double-digit declines in 2022 as investors factor in the risk of sanctions, dividend cuts and higher risk premiums. The invasion of Ukraine is testing our conviction, but our views are unchanged for now, ackn...
Events have moved quickly since our update on February 22. It’s unclear whether this is the shock and awe phase of a limited incursion or the beginning of a full-scale invasion that seeks regime change in Kyiv. USD/RUB touched 90 overnight before fading back to the mid-80s ...
As Russia initiates military action in Ukraine, pain at the pump is about to get even worse. Fuel costs have already been soaring due to oil and gas supply constraints coupled with broader inflationary pressures. Gold is gaining for a fourth straight week, with spot prices now up 1.2%...
Global markets tumble on Russian attack on Ukraine. Russian inflation stokes stagflation fears. Commodities the big winner in Russian attack. For further details see: Markets Sell Off As Russia Attacks Ukraine: What's At Stake For Investors?
The problem for Western leaders is that their governing elites have incoherent views towards Russia, and it is unclear how much this will change. The implication is that if fighting were to continue, it would be in the form of an insurgency. Government spending that is not tied to...
It seems likely that Russia’s overwhelming military force will eventually prevail and Ukraine’s government and independence will succumb. Inflation is already elevated and rising energy prices will likely exacerbate pricing pressure further. Russia’s growing e...
Russia's recognition of the Donetsk and Lugansk People's Republics (DLPR) has sparked global outrage and triggered the first tranche of sanctions. Although Russian markets are closed for a public holiday, offshore trading shows a continued sell-off in Russian USD debt. We take a l...
US inflation remains elevated and appears on track to remain so for the immediate future. The Producer Price Index for All Commodities has peaked on a year-over-year basis. The sharp increase in shipping costs over the past year captures the supply-chain disruptions that have been...
The U.S. has been importing more crude oil from Russia, especially on the West Coast, due to the decline of Alaska’s crude oil output. So, if the U.S. tried to curtail Russian energy imports, then the record prices at the pump on the West Coast could soar higher. China is expor...
Forecasting macro activity and managing expectations have become substantially more difficult. As the West imposes sanctions on Russia, the potential for a severe supply shock lurks – particularly for oil and natural gas. Macroeconomic risk will rise, perhaps leading to a n...
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2024-06-21 14:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-30 23:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-01 05:48:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...