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A long history of extremely low yields in Japan suggests that low yields do not necessarily map to low returns. Amid the dramatic sell-off in risk assets in March 2020 as the global pandemic took hold, and again in September 2020 when equity markets pulled back sharply, government bon...
According to recent data from global index provider FTSE Russell, US Treasuries have become expensive compared to other major sovereign bond markets over the last four years, as measured by US yield spreads versus the FTSE World Government Bond Index excluding the US (WGBI ex. US). Du...
The world currently has $18.1 trillion in negative-yielding debt, which is a boon and a godsend for the nations and corporations that have it. It is a "Borrower's Paradise" and a "Fixed Income Investor's Hell." All across the spectrum, the compression to Treasuries is taking place. Th...
One had hoped for 2020 to be a year with a clear (20/20) vision for a promising future. Alas, it turned out to be anything but. Unlike the US and Europe, Asia still has more levers at its disposal to manage its economy in the near term with interest rates not yet at zero and with more...
Asset valuations, in themselves, cannot tell us when bubbles will burst, but they suggest when we are witnessing them and the depth of liquidation coming on the other side. Today, equities, corporate and many sovereign bonds (and the funds and ETFs that hold them) are more extremely p...
Over 300 no load mutual funds available to small investors, nearly 200 exchange-traded funds, and over a dozen closed-end funds representing 120 Lipper Categories are ranked. The funds are ranked based on Risk, Risk Adjusted Performance, Momentum, Quality, Yield, and Consistency. ...
To address the breadth of possibilities that lie ahead in this environment, our global outlook for 2021 includes a base case, an upside scenario, and a downside scenario. In our base-case scenario, we expect equities to outperform fixed income as growth moves above trend, the global e...
We expect the global economy to rebound strongly next year. But structural headwinds remain. Will the post-pandemic bounce trigger a durable and broad-based global reflation? For further details see: Will 2021 Mark The Launch Of A Durable Global Recovery?
The Bank of England and Fed have scope to double QE programs. But using GFC playbook in a liquidity trap may have little impact, as BoJ found. Evidence on the efficacy of negative interest rates is also mixed. COVID-19-bond financed stimulus is unlimited in size and not tempor...
The world economy has really been rocking, and we've been talking about this since the summer, as can be seen by looking at global business activity, PMIs. Copper prices are near four-year highs and have continued to rally through the last several months. And unemployment has really b...
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2024-07-11 12:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-21 12:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-09 10:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...