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The IMF has called on countries to spend as much as they can to protect the vulnerable and limit long-lasting damage to economies, stressing the need for spending to be well-targeted. In an earlier paper we showed that, provided fiscal space remains ample, countries should not run lar...
Due to the nature of climate change, with unprecedented and non-linear, dynamics, relying on historical data is not sufficient to anticipate climate change risks. This paper proposes a methodology for a forward-looking assessment of climate risks as recommended by regulating internati...
The fixed income world is beginning to undergo a multiyear transition as aggressive monetary accommodation and government spending across key economies drive higher near-term economic growth rates. The result could be a shift to higher real rates as output gaps narrow, as well as mode...
Global PMI signals fastest rise in firms' input costs since 2008. Charges for goods and services both rise at steepest rates in PMI survey history. US sees sharpest price hikes, led by rising prices for consumer goods. For further details see: Global Price Gauge Hits New...
Global PMI highest since August 2014. Manufacturing reports robust expansion despite supply delays, services boosted by easing of COVID-19 restrictions. Consumer services show signs of steadying after steep downturn. US leads upturn, Brazil lags. For further details see:...
Emerging markets bonds historically do well in a rising interest rate environment. The U.S. is on track to potentially grow faster than China in 2021, in our view. Emerging markets economies tend to benefit from U.S. twin deficits. For further details see: Fortify Your 4...
With a broad-based economic reopening coming closer into focus, investors are planning for the next stage in the cycle. Our K2 Advisors team believes geographical, asset class and sector rotations will be key to driving returns over the next 12 months. We expect hedge-fund manager...
Global growth looks set to rebound even more strongly in 2021 than we had anticipated in our January Cyclical Outlook. Over the next several months, a combination of base effects, recent increases in energy prices, and price adjustments in sectors where activity ramps up is likely to ...
In the first quarter, the global economy continued to recover from the steep losses of a year ago, but at a weaker pace as a result of still high COVID-19 cases and slow starts to vaccinations in many countries. The MSCI Emerging Market Index outperformed EAFE, ending 2020 up 18.7%. ...
The jarring retreat in global bond markets this year has provoked comparisons to the mid-2013 Taper Tantrum, when the Fed hinted at the prospect of scaling back its QE program. While today's upheaval shares many similarities with that earlier event, there are also some notable differe...
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2024-07-11 12:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-21 12:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-09 10:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...