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The Fed will announce ‘mission accomplished’ on reaching “substantial further progress” on both inflation and employment mandates. Despite Christine Lagarde’s best efforts, the markets were not buying what she had to sell which could be extremely pro...
U.S. Q3 GDP misses expectations. Key takeaways from recent central bank meetings. Two main risks facing China. For further details see: Unpacking The Latest Developments From Global Central Banks
China’s growth q/q seasonally adjusted slowed considerably in Q3. Journalistic accounts have attributed the Q3 slowdown to the financial fallout from the Evergrande default as well as more general real estate troubles, slowed auto production due to chip shortages, and power out...
Consensus remains cautiously positive on the economic and market outlook for the coming year, but for the first time in 18 months, we have started trimming risk in our views, advocating building dry powder to take advantage of opportunities that arise due to potential short-term market vo...
The financial markets today are huge (certainly much bigger than at any time in history), and the hands pushing real yields down (the Federal Reserve and the ECB) are extremely strong. Interestingly, while real yields are at record lows, the supply of financial assets is at record hig...
As we move into Q4, markets are in a tug-of-war involving various good news vs. bad news debates. COVID-19 cases are declining, but central banks are considering tightening monetary policy. Earnings growth is strong, but year-over-year comparisons will become tougher. Employment stati...
The port bottlenecks and supply shortages have caused goods shortages. Though, for proof that the supply chain disruption is not damaging the economy much, look no further than Friday’s report that retail sales rose 0.7% in September - a huge positive surprise, since economists wer...
China’s image as the world’s growth engine remains etched in many people’s minds, even though the country no longer sees itself that way. Property and manufacturing are being constrained by government actions linked to the policy goals of financial stability and t...
Evergrande’s Chinese bonds have been paid off in some form which we don’t know, while their Dollar-denominated bonds have gone into default. Evergrande also guaranteed the bonds of Fantasia, which is nowhere to be found in any of Evergrande’s financial statements. ...
Power shortages, COVID outbreaks, supply chain problems, industry crackdowns and the China Evergrande debt crisis all weighed on China's economy in the third quarter. Data released overnight showed that GDP grew a disappointing 4.9% Y/Y, missing expectations for a 5.2% expansion, and marking ...
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2024-07-01 14:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-01 06:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-22 14:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...