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There's one thing markets hate, and that's uncertainty. Sadly, science does not deal in absolutes, just guidance based on the available evidence, of which, right now, there isn't much. The next few weeks could be choppy. For further details see: Variant Volatility
Historically, the job of central banks has been to control the level of inflation and make sure the economy grows fast enough to create “full employment.”. In the 43 years since the Maoist period ended in 1978, China has been the fastest growing major economy in the worl...
The global economy grows, it pauses, perhaps halts, and we all wonder if the other side of the “scare” will remain growth or turn to something worse - usually a downturn, if not full-blown recession. “Growth scare” for Japan, like Germany and also China, do...
The Fed confirmed that it will taper its asset purchase program starting later in November, while the Bank of England (BOE) fell just short of raising rates at its November meeting. 55% of managers expect inflation in the U.S. for the next 12 months to stand between 2.26% and 2.75%, w...
After the third quarter suddenly sagged, we are seeing optimistic forecasts for the fourth quarter. The key question is - will we sag, like the third quarter, or soar again, like the first two quarters? While there are some catalysts supporting the economy’s strength this quart...
The deficit spending that supported the economy in 2020 is showing up in hot inflation numbers in 2021. While I think the inflation numbers will get better in 2022, I do not believe they will get back to pre-pandemic levels because of owners’ equivalent rents and wage gains in ...
We are moving from the recovery phase of the current cycle to its middle phase. But what kind of cycle is it likely to be? After 40 years of declining inflation and interest rates, the direction of travel appears to be changing, due to new central bank policy priorities, China’...
The Chinese government has taken a stricter stance on some of the large consumer tech names, the education sector and some of the Macau gaming names. Amid this backdrop, we believe there is the potential for further regulatory action toward sectors that are linked to these issues, suc...
Investors should focus on fundamentals rather than trying to predict what Beijing will do next. Investors have been focused on the headwinds, including the potential for additional policy announcements, a slowdown in economic growth and heightened geopolitical concerns. We believe...
October's growth in industrial production, investment and retail sales was very mixed. Sudden electricity outages will probably not re-occur. But questions remain about real estate policies and the unexplained sluggishness of infrastructure investment and the outlook for 2022. ...
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2024-07-01 14:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-01 06:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-22 14:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...