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An investment in Nigeria or Turkey clearly exposes a firm or investor to more risks than an otherwise similar investment in Germany or Canada, but why? While country risk has so many dimensions to it, there is correlation across the many dimensions, with corruption, poor legal protect...
For the first time in decades, we now have an inflation problem. This is prompting central banks to tighten monetary conditions, just as the global economy is weakening. This does not bode well for investment prospects. If things get really bad, a pivot back to monetary easing cou...
The global economic outlook has deteriorated sharply; we now expect GDP growth to be well below potential in 2023. While the near-term economic outlook is challenging, not all downturns are catastrophic - unlike those during the pandemic and global financial crisis. The economic o...
US and Global markets recoiled from the higher inflation/CPI data last week. The US Fed raised interest rates by 75bp on June 15. It is clear that global markets expected inflation to stay elevated but were hoping for some moderately lower data showing the recent Fed moves had already...
Growth concerns, inflation and volatility fueled the debate at our Outlook Forum over why we’re entering a new macro and market regime and what that means. Poor activity data reinforced slowdown fears, resulting in falling yields and rising stocks last week. Persistent UK infla...
Kimberly-Clark has a fantastic business that has been around for 150 years. It's not going away anytime soon. Inflationary pressures are taking a bite out of Kimberly-Clark's operating profits, and price increases haven't been enough to keep things moving in the right direction. T...
Growth is slowing, but it’s slowing to trend at this point. So not to zero, not to negative, but something like the trend that we’ve experienced over the last couple of decades. So, if you’re looking for a great way to play inflation, look to the small cap asset c...
Russia's war with Ukraine and recent lockdowns in mainland China have further disrupted supply chains, adding to cost pressures. The US Federal Reserve raised its policy rate by 75 basis points at its mid-June meeting and signaled its determination to return inflation to 2%, acknowled...
Worsening consumer and business sentiment, increased inflation, and central banks moving to tighten monetary policy, with the US Federal Reserve being the most aggressive, have increased the risk of a global recession. When China imposed widespread lockdowns in April in pursuit of its...
This “inflation” is just the cover for the harmful redistribution of last year’s global supply shock (not money printing dollars). The global economy is clearly hitting the wall of the supply shock and reacting just as markets and curves have been pricing for well...
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Headline of release should read: Franklin Templeton to Reposition Four ETFs in U.S. (instead of Franklin Templeton to Reposition Four ETFs U.S.). The updated release reads: FRANKLIN TEMPLETON TO REPOSITION FOUR ETFS IN U.S. Franklin Templeton today announced plans to rep...
Franklin Templeton today announced plans to reposition and rename four index-based ETFs, effective on or about August 1, 2022. With this repositioning, the firm will change the ticker symbols and investment goal, strategies and policies for each Fund. The index provider for each Fund wi...