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Although some short-term supply bottlenecks and financial speculation might drive commodity prices and inflation expectations further from here, a few big-picture facts are worth noting. The consensus expects consumer spending to keep accelerating because some households have higher s...
Global markets sell off. Long overdue or more to come? Will the threat of inflation continue to foil markets? Overvaluation vs. money looking for a home. Which force will win out? For further details see: Markets Sell Off On Inflation Fears: Overdue Pullback Or More Down...
My recent research with John Kearns makes a novel contribution by analyzing the impact of pandemic variables on an actual measure of economic activity - industrial production (IP) - across a wide range of economies. In all three country groups, but especially the poorest countries, we...
If you believe that the S&P 500 is poised for a secular bear market, then GLD can be a great hedge for portfolios. Despite the weakness in large-cap tech and high-beta growth the last 6 months and in 2021, respectively, I’m not convinced the secular bull market in the S&...
Supply-side bottlenecks have increased prices for businesses. The longer these disruptions last, the higher the likelihood businesses pass on the rising costs to consumers. The impact of supply chain disruptions will also be felt in the medium to long term. For further detai...
Worldwide orders for business equipment rose at the fastest rate for a decade in April. Business confidence about the year ahead hit a seven-year high in March, according to the global PMI data, pulling back only very modestly in April and driving a commensurate upturn in investment s...
Global economic growth accelerated sharply in April to reach an 11-year high, according to the latest PMI surveys, and further robust growth looks likely in the coming months as more economies open up from Covid lockdowns. The COVID-19 Containment Index is set to fall further to 29 in...
Global PMI employment index hits highest for 14 years as companies step up hiring amid surging demand and optimism about the year ahead. Job gains led by the developed world, notably the US and UK. Banking reports fastest ever jobs growth, only tourism and recreation reports falli...
Global growth outlook continues to improve, thanks to accelerating vaccination. While the reflation stalled in recent weeks, it may ramp up again with cases rolling over and reopening prospects improving. After a pause, yields may move higher again before retreating further out as...
First-quarter economic data suggest the longer-term global outlook and recovery will be anything but linear. A fiscally fueled expansion is pretty well-established, but it's uneven across regions. There's ongoing tension between fiscal stimulus and vaccination programmes. Fo...
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Headline of release should read: Franklin Templeton to Reposition Four ETFs in U.S. (instead of Franklin Templeton to Reposition Four ETFs U.S.). The updated release reads: FRANKLIN TEMPLETON TO REPOSITION FOUR ETFS IN U.S. Franklin Templeton today announced plans to rep...
Franklin Templeton today announced plans to reposition and rename four index-based ETFs, effective on or about August 1, 2022. With this repositioning, the firm will change the ticker symbols and investment goal, strategies and policies for each Fund. The index provider for each Fund wi...