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Investors that hold bonds to maturity earn the yield at which they purchased the security, and at maturity, they get paid face value. The US government issues its own currency and can always pay for anything with the Fed’s newly created money. Fixed income investors have go...
Markets had expected the BoE's bank rate hike, but they were caught a bit off guard by a surprising pivot by the ECB, widely seen as the most dovish of major central banks in wanting to hold off talk of any rate hikes until after 2022. ECB president Christine Lagarde noted that inflat...
We have seen crypto disruption expand across the financial system and expect this to continue. Inflation pressures may linger through 2022 and pose a risk of spiraling into a more persistent economic factor. Historically in these market environments, real assets—including n...
At the end of 2019, had we been told that a two-year pandemic was about to begin, we would have found it impossible to predict the set of returns that followed in subsequent years. Historically, “tightening,” or “over-tightening,” policy was about corrallin...
I try to focus on the main drivers of the current market action, and offer some brief commentary along the way. We are still short 3.9 million employees, compared to the pre-Covid number. And we only added 210 thousand persons in November. As stock investors seek safety in the Tre...
Without a successful green transition everywhere, climate risk is unmanageable anywhere. Not all companies can beat inflation by raising prices – that’s why this is a stock selection environment. The steps Iran has taken demonstrate it is moving closer to attaining n...
If yields are low and spreads are low, it’s logical to conclude that generic market beta returns are going to be low. But that does not mean that alpha expectations should be lowered as well. There’s potentially a lot of volatility coming our way and dispersion with winn...
Taking an active approach in fixed income will be key to finding investment success in the upcoming year. In 2022, we expect the market narrative to transition to the traditional expansionary phase of the business cycle. We believe 2022 will be a strong year for “rising sta...
Our equities markets seem to be gradually ebbing. While Treasuries have rallied, this has not been the case for our other credit markets. On the inflation front, we are now at a three-decade high, according to the Associated Press. With valuations at current levels, and with v...
It is interesting to observe the behaviour of Core Infrastructure and various ways to gain exposure to it: fixed income, multi-asset and equity. After initially losing nearly 10% at the end of March 2020, the FTSE Fixed Income Core Infrastructure index bounced strongly, returning almo...
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2024-06-28 04:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-08 01:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-17 12:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...