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Persistent inflation and price volatility create uncertainty for investors and business leaders. Reasons to believe inflation will moderate include declining commodity prices, stabilizing money supply, and the resolution of supply chain issues. The tight labor market will continue...
Almost every month this year, the “discounts” on financial assets from their year-end 2021 prices have gotten larger, leaving the S&P 500 with its worst first half-of-the-year return since 1962 (narrowly avoiding its worst first half since the Great Depression). Ther...
The fiscal policies implemented post the pandemic-driven economic shutdown created a surge in demand that created an unprecedented surge in corporate earnings. When stocks deviate from the underlying economy, the eventual resolution is lower stock prices. The deviation from long-t...
It appears the U.S. economy may be falling into recession - the business cycle has not been eliminated. Valuations outside the U.S. continue to look relatively attractive versus the U.S., especially in Japan. Credit spreads rallied over the past month or so and are once again in l...
We prefer investment grade credit over equities right now. Our reasoning: valuations, strong balance sheets, low supply and moderate refinancing risks. U.S. data last week showed strong job creation but still low labor participation. Stocks lost steam and bond yields spiked as markets...
Far from moderating, new data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis show that inflation picked up in June. Core PCEPI inflation, which excludes food and energy prices and is thought to be a better indicator of future PCEPI inflation, also picked up. The change in policy can be seen...
Rising price pressures, stronger and more persistent than generally expected, has been the main challenge for consumers, businesses, and policymakers. The Bank of Japan's balance sheet is nearly 135% of GDP. The Fed's balance sheet is about 36.5% of GDP. Last week, the Bank of Eng...
Only 10% of the nation feels positive about the economy, and last month, consumer sentiment hit a record low. Climate change is submerging or parching dense and developed regions all over the globe. The greatest threat to our nation isn’t an economic recession, but losing t...
The direction of inflation over the next decade will be the most important determinant of investment performance. US may be entering a decade of stagflation, plagued by the same debt / reflation / zombification cycle that has bedeviled Japan's economy for the last 30 years. Steepe...
Despite some easing in longer-term inflation expectations, shorter-term expectations remain near record highs. Inflation expectations remaining elevated, risk anchoring inflation higher and becoming self-fulfilling. A pivot to monetary easing looks rather unlikely until inflation ...
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2024-07-21 20:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-11 17:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. (FFIE) rose 20.9% to $0.5541 on volume of 173,316,620 shares Assure Holdings Corp. (IONM) rose 114.1% to $0.496799 on volume of 118,668,589 shares NLS Pharmaceutics Ltd. (NLSP) rose 67.6% to $0...