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Summary The U.S. Federal Reserve delivered its third straight 75-bps rate hike on Wednesday. Based on the Fed's updated economic projections, the growth outlook is for a weaker economy over its projection horizon versus its June update. We know policy works with a lag, and inf...
Summary Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered another forceful message to markets that an early pivot back to rate cuts will not happen until inflation is under control. However, there is still an element of wishful thinking in the Fed’s forecasts and rhetoric that part...
Summary The Federal Reserve delivered another outsized rate increase at today’s FOMC meeting, raising the Fed Funds target by 75 basis points to a new range of 3.00%–3.25%. In early 2008, the Fed was cutting rates due to the financial crisis and great recession, whil...
Summary After several years of steady growth and low inflation, policymakers now face a delicate tradeoff between bringing down inflation or sustaining economic growth amid heightened macro and market volatility. We expect the Fed to remain committed to aggressive rate hikes. ...
Summary The recent August print showed that consumer prices continued to rise year over year – albeit more slowly than prior months. We have remained a bit more cautious than the market’s consensus inflation expectations. We’re not convinced that inflation...
Summary Markets did not like the August CPI increase over the number from July, which remained essentially unchanged, though a significant decline had been predicted. Outside of food and energy, the inflation picture is not much better. Price pressures appear to have increased...
Summary This week the Fed funds rate will likely rise above the prior Fed funds rate hiking cycle for the first time in 40 years or so. I am of the opinion that the Fed overly stimulated the economy in 2021 and now we are all paying the price for their past mistakes. It is thi...
Summary The consensus expectation on Tuesday for August CPI was for a 0.1% decline, but the positive +0.1% monthly gain in the CPI shocked Wall Street. This inflation news spooked Treasury bond yields, pushing 10-year yields up from 3.36% on Monday to 3.42% on Tuesday. Now tha...
Summary The financial markets were shocked by the US CPI for August. The evidence continues to accumulate that inflation is now in a downward trend. The monthly chart shows that the numbers remain very high relative to everything over the past twenty years prior to the past fe...
Summary Nobody knows how high interest rates have to rise in order to slow and ultimately reverse the recent rise in inflation. Only excess money causes inflation, and there seems to be a lot less of it recently, which is great news. Supply chain bottlenecks are clearing up ra...
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2024-07-21 20:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-11 17:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. (FFIE) rose 20.9% to $0.5541 on volume of 173,316,620 shares Assure Holdings Corp. (IONM) rose 114.1% to $0.496799 on volume of 118,668,589 shares NLS Pharmaceutics Ltd. (NLSP) rose 67.6% to $0...