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Summary The “hotter” than expected September CPI report has basically eliminated the premise of another Powell Pivot any time soon. Service-related inflation is now the problem for the Fed. Since rate hikes began in March, the “services less energy services...
Summary How far will policy rates need to go to tame inflation and is a recession imminent? Until central banks see a significant decline in wage growth, they’re likely to keep conditions tighter for longer. There’s evidence that conditions may continue to suppor...
Summary While Fed rate hikes remain Powell’s preferred tool to combat inflation, the reality is that inflation will drop markedly over the next several months. With households already struggling to make ends meet, the impact of Fed rate hikes on consumption, the main driver...
Summary September’s inflation numbers aren’t good. Prices rose 8.2 percent year-over-year, down slightly from the last release, yet still painful. Ideally, the Fed would ensure the real interest rate it pays on reserves matches what economists call the natural real i...
Summary Global GDP growth is still expected to be positive in 2022 (excluding Russia) but is expected to fall fairly dramatically in 2023. The U.S. Q3 2022 earnings season has just begun, and the outlook is for lower but still positive revenue and earnings growth. Inflation wi...
Summary At the beginning of 2022, our most reliable stock market valuation measures stood at record levels, beyond even their 1929 and 2000 extremes. In our evaluation of market conditions, it’s useful to consider market conditions from the standpoint of multiple time horiz...
Summary Pre-COVID U.S. federal debt stood at $23.2 trillion. At last count, the number is $30.5 trillion. Not all of that $7.3 trillion increase is due to COVID, but most of it is. That aggressive deficit spending, monetized by the Fed, ended up circulating in the economy, balloon...
Summary The Fed isn’t likely to stop raising rates anytime soon which means cash is starting to become a viable competitor to the increasingly volatile trading in stocks and bonds. Liquidity is now reaching very dangerous levels. The US Ten-Year Note Yield crossed the 4...
Summary PPI and CPI numbers came out last week, and both were higher than expected. Fed officials are concerned about the persistence of high inflation, and a 0.75% key interest rate hike at the November FOMC meeting is virtually certain. Worldwide demand for crude oil naturally r...
Summary We have been on a market roller-coaster. Why the violent ups and downs? We are still in negative gamma. The options market is controlling the stock market. There is a lack of liquidity in the market, and the positions in the options market are now very short-term. Ther...
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2024-07-21 20:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-11 17:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. (FFIE) rose 20.9% to $0.5541 on volume of 173,316,620 shares Assure Holdings Corp. (IONM) rose 114.1% to $0.496799 on volume of 118,668,589 shares NLS Pharmaceutics Ltd. (NLSP) rose 67.6% to $0...