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It was more like a natural disaster or an exogenous shock to the economy because of the way the government shut down so much of the economy. Two indications that are worrisome are energy price surges and the flattening yield curve. Understanding that 60/40 isn’t necessarily...
The U.S. Fed's pivot away from the view that inflation is “transitory” signaled the beginning of the end for the ultra-low rate environment we have come to think of as normal. Past inflationary cycles rarely end well for financial markets. Such ramifications are stil...
The start of Fed hiking cycles tends to coincide with a strong economy which can help to lift cyclical sectors such as materials, industrials and energy. The S&P 500, Dow Jones and Nasdaq composite have overall positive returns during Fed rate hike cycles dating back to 1989. ...
A few weeks ago, there was still a reasonable debate about whether US inflation would soon begin to peak. Whatever the merits of the argument, it’s been obliterated by the economic blowback from the war in Ukraine. The news about US consumer inflation continued to increase in F...
The preliminary March results from the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers show overall consumer sentiment fell again in early March, hitting the lowest level since September 2011. The composite consumer sentiment decreased to 59.7 in early March, down from 62.8 in February, a...
Oil spikes have historically negatively impacted economic outcomes. Oil spikes typically are short-lived due to some exogenous geopolitical event. While higher oil prices certainly benefit oil companies by making the extraction process more profitable, there is also a negative impact ...
U.S. consumer price index jumps 7.9% in February. ECB announces earlier end to quantitative-easing program. Oil prices surge as Russia-Ukraine war roils energy markets. For further details see: Energy Prices Soar Amid Russian Invasion Of Ukraine
Inflation rates have soared across the globe. Headline inflation rates should moderate from later in 2022. Central bank tightening is already well underway in many emerging markets. For further details see: Reflation Risks
The rate of inflation soared to a new 40-year high of 7.9%. Yet this is a lagging indicator that tells us more about the past than the future. The median rate that excludes pandemic-impacted outliers is much lower and falls below the nominal growth rate for wages. I expect to ...
Why the Russia-Ukraine war may create challenges for the global economy. How Russia-Ukraine conflict could impact supply chains. Can today's inflation rate take us back to the 1970s? For further details see: From War To Inflation To COVID-19: The Outlook... It's Complica...
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2024-07-21 20:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-11 17:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. (FFIE) rose 20.9% to $0.5541 on volume of 173,316,620 shares Assure Holdings Corp. (IONM) rose 114.1% to $0.496799 on volume of 118,668,589 shares NLS Pharmaceutics Ltd. (NLSP) rose 67.6% to $0...