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Does the yield curve inversion cause a recession or does it just provide a signal? Is the inversion only about expected future monetary policy? Do other factors also influence the shape of the curve, and if so, can we disentangle the various factors? There is a lot that we don’...
At last month's FOMC meeting, the Fed raised the Fed Funds rate by 25 basis points for the first time since 2018 in response to their concerns over rising inflation. The Fed also announced their intention of reducing its balance sheet through maturity roll-offs. The unspoken impac...
With inflation at the highest level in decades and interest rates on the rise, equity investors are questioning their next moves. We could see inflation move toward its new long-run trend starting in the second half of this year. Companies generally have been able to manage higher...
You have probably noticed that prices at the grocery store are higher than they were a year ago, but some, like cereal and sunflower oil, are a whole lot higher. This impending food crisis has been somewhat overlooked in developed-world analysis about the economic effects of the crisi...
Business costs are now rising at a rate not seen since 2008. Input cost inflation accelerated worldwide in both manufacturing and services. COVID-19 containment measures have been almost completely removed in the UK and US, though many restrictions persist in the eurozone. F...
The labor force recovery since the pandemic shock low is on an upward trajectory within a longer-term downward trend. Demographics seem to be the single most powerful force in longer-term labor force trends, and they remain in the downward trajectory, as we can see from these charts. ...
The surge in inflation is pushing not only the cost of everything higher but also financing costs with higher interest rates. The higher inflation rates run, the more the consumer gets squeezed and is forced to reduce discretionary spending. The last two years have been volatile a...
There's still a lot of money in circulation that the Fed created from MMT, and it has to go somewhere. Much of that money will start hiding in 2- to 5-year Treasuries securities while the yield curve remains inverted, but also, fortunately, much will go into stocks that serve as inflation...
Stock markets fell in the first quarter as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine destabilized the growth outlook, amplified concerns about rising interest rates and unleashed geopolitical risks. While the conflict has created many uncertainties, we believe the impact of persistent infla...
Recent events have just added an additional inflationary impulse into an already high-inflation environment. Europe is somewhat elevated relative to the past but well below what we see in the US. So really, from an investor’s standpoint, this high-yield opportunity in credi...
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2024-07-21 20:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-11 17:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. (FFIE) rose 20.9% to $0.5541 on volume of 173,316,620 shares Assure Holdings Corp. (IONM) rose 114.1% to $0.496799 on volume of 118,668,589 shares NLS Pharmaceutics Ltd. (NLSP) rose 67.6% to $0...